New Mexico United States Member #86099 January 29, 2010 11116 Posts Offline

Posted: January 16, 2016, 12:13 pm - IP Logged

Can you make this like positional 1,2,3 positions for an input of 15 draws? Show how the numbers move from position to position. I would like to try this .

United States Member #171734 January 11, 2016 127 Posts Offline

Posted: January 17, 2016, 2:15 am - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by JADELottery on October 25, 2015

If you haven't scrolled right on the last post, here's what got us wondering.

You can see there have been no clockwise moves in 6, 7 or 8 since early September.

We looked at the other columns in MN Daily 3; both B and C, but this is the only one that has this kind of trend.

This got us thinking and it dawned on us that MN allows betting on the first digit only (column A).

What's also coincidental is on 2015-09-09 Eddie Tipton was sentenced to 10 years in prison... weird, huh?

Since we discovered this flaw, we had been posting bogus Pick 3 numbers in the Lottery Post's Prediction Board.

Or, more to the point, the Losing first digit number that would have been covered by the missing clockwise moves: 6, 7 and 8.

The first step in analyzing should be asking "what is the probability of this occurring"

While you seeing something in 6,7,8 that is just because your mapping of gaps into 1-10 makes those obvious. Any other set of 3 gaps showing the same pattern would be just as likely. There are 128 different combination of 3 digits so there are 128 different sets of 3 gaps that would be just as interesting as this particular set of three gaps.

You got interested when the gap was 27 drawings long. What are the odds that any of three specific clockwise moves won't show up in a set of two drawings? 70%

So what are the odds that they won't show up 27 consecutive times? .7 to the 27th power or about 1 in 15,000.

Since there are 128 different sets of three gaps the odds that you'll see a gap of 27 drawings for any set of 3 clockwise moves is 1 in 120

You have a sample size of 10,000 so there are almost certainly MANY gaps of 27 drawings for other sets of 3 clockwise moves. You just can't see them because you only have placed 7 such sets adjacent to each other in your graph.

My conclusion, just another example of how you can manipulate data to make patterns appear in large data sets that might seem unusual but really aren't

New Mexico United States Member #86099 January 29, 2010 11116 Posts Offline

Posted: January 17, 2016, 1:58 pm - IP Logged

Quote: Originally posted by dddwww on January 17, 2016

The first step in analyzing should be asking "what is the probability of this occurring"

While you seeing something in 6,7,8 that is just because your mapping of gaps into 1-10 makes those obvious. Any other set of 3 gaps showing the same pattern would be just as likely. There are 128 different combination of 3 digits so there are 128 different sets of 3 gaps that would be just as interesting as this particular set of three gaps.

You got interested when the gap was 27 drawings long. What are the odds that any of three specific clockwise moves won't show up in a set of two drawings? 70%

So what are the odds that they won't show up 27 consecutive times? .7 to the 27th power or about 1 in 15,000.

Since there are 128 different sets of three gaps the odds that you'll see a gap of 27 drawings for any set of 3 clockwise moves is 1 in 120

You have a sample size of 10,000 so there are almost certainly MANY gaps of 27 drawings for other sets of 3 clockwise moves. You just can't see them because you only have placed 7 such sets adjacent to each other in your graph.

My conclusion, just another example of how you can manipulate data to make patterns appear in large data sets that might seem unusual but really aren't