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garyo1954

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Jan 16, 2023, 5:14 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Jan 16, 2023
When the Kentucky Lottery changed from televising their drawing on TV stations to streaming them, not very many players even knew they did. Even when they stopped all live ball drawings and used a RNG, to my knowledge there wasn't much of an uproar. Because this is a lottery based message board, we see more opinions pro and con for live ball drawings.

"the lottery moves the goal posts"

There was a poster that had a "recently drawn numbers" MM theory when the matrix was 5/56 + 1/46 and $1 a ticket. He posted the 28 most recently drawn numbers before every drawing, but used only one bonus number. He knew it would probably be impossible to play 98,280 lines after accurately filling out 19,656 play slips even if he could find a store willing to print the tickets. I created an abbreviated wheel with 5000 lines, put in his 28 numbers in the order he used and it showed a five number match. Not saying MM went to a $2 ticket with a 5/75 + 1/15 matrix because of the "recently drawn numbers" strategy, but they did move the goal posts.

Just like any company out to make money, when the lottery sees their net profits fall, they do something to balance the spreadsheet.

Then people who play the state games often end up on the short end. Since the state isn't selling the number of tickets it was jackpots go down.

Haven't looked at the KY435 lately. Been doing other work. Last night I wrote a program, started it, and watched the Bengals. This morning I realized those were out of date. Have to do the update before the run.

So today I've been running the total data. Tonight I'll go through it while watching the Cowboys.
Might do the update if I have time.

G

I'm probably here unless I'm not.
Dreaming would be a perfectly useless function if it's only purpose was to entertain.
Stack47

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Jan 16, 2023, 7:51 pm

Quote: Originally posted by garyo1954 on Jan 16, 2023
Just like any company out to make money, when the lottery sees their net profits fall, they do something to balance the spreadsheet.

Then people who play the state games often end up on the short end. Since the state isn't selling the number of tickets it was jackpots go down.

Haven't looked at the KY435 lately. Been doing other work. Last night I wrote a program, started it, and watched the Bengals. This morning I realized those were out of date. Have to do the update before the run.

So today I've been running the total data. Tonight I'll go through it while watching the Cowboys.
Might do the update if I have time.

G

Don't have a 4/35 systems so when I play Cashball 225 it's a line of dates and a couple QPs. KY just started a 5/39 game but the payoffs are terrible compared to other lotteries with the same game. The Ohio 5/39 Rolling Cash has a $120,000 jackpot and KY's is $55,000.

"Some people have something to say while other people feel the need to say something"
garyo1954

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Jan 16, 2023, 9:13 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Stack47 on Jan 16, 2023
Don't have a 4/35 systems so when I play Cashball 225 it's a line of dates and a couple QPs. KY just started a 5/39 game but the payoffs are terrible compared to other lotteries with the same game. The Ohio 5/39 Rolling Cash has a $120,000 jackpot and KY's is $55,000.

The Cashball 225 is what I call a 4/35.

I don't know what we'll do with what we're doing. Originally it was going to be a book. Then the others joined in.
Now it seems the charts would need color and glossy paper. I'm like we'd never get any money out of that. So the other person suggested a web site.

The 5/35 here pays $25,000. I don't play it. I look at it from time to time just to see what is going on with it. I keep telling myself I should rewrite some of it. I need too.

Cowboys are up by 12 with less than 5 minutes left in the half.

G

I'm probably here unless I'm not.
Dreaming would be a perfectly useless function if it's only purpose was to entertain.
dr san

bgonÃ§alves
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Jan 17, 2023, 7:31 am

the past draws do count in any game of chance. Pascal demonstrated that truth hundreds of years ago.
Jenemay

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Jan 17, 2023, 12:11 pm

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Jan 17, 2023
the past draws do count in any game of chance. Pascal demonstrated that truth hundreds of years ago.

Sure past draws do count in the lottery and that is the format I used in predicting future draws. Base on my observation for over 15 years I've used yesterday results to predict todays draw. For example check up the PA lottery Treasure hunts game and you will noticed every individual number moves with a specific for a giving period. Staring from 1/1/22 to present, if 28 sure up in a draw today 23 , 26. and 17 have 80% chance of being in the next draw. Another example is 10 shows up in a draw and 16 pops up the next day. before a draw I will follow each number from the last draw for the past 360 draws, and by doing so I can choose my numbers to play. I really don't believed those statistical or probability mombo jumbo, I used pattern and can prove it by showing tickets predicting 4 numbers many time in a game.
AllenB

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Jan 17, 2023, 12:20 pm

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Jan 17, 2023
the past draws do count in any game of chance. Pascal demonstrated that truth hundreds of years ago.

What Else is there to look at?

The only solution that I can see if we ignore past draws. is a Quick Pick.

How about a Quick Pick that Picks the Game and then the Numbers.

Say "Quick Pick" and the See what Game you are playing then check the Numbers.

You are welcome Lotteries. Just trying to help.
garyo1954

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Jan 17, 2023, 2:23 pm

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Jan 17, 2023
the past draws do count in any game of chance. Pascal demonstrated that truth hundreds of years ago.

Is this Pascal's wager which deals with how to divide a bet equally when a game is called?
Is it along the line of Pascal's Probability Theory and his triangle?

Give us a link so we know what you are referring too.
We need to know what you're talking about to discuss it.

G

I'm probably here unless I'm not.
Dreaming would be a perfectly useless function if it's only purpose was to entertain.
dr san

bgonÃ§alves
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Jan 17, 2023, 2:30 pm

you can use three triplets of numbers with a fixed central digit, how is this fixed number chosen? repetition or delay in its frequency in its cycle.
ancient40

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Jan 17, 2023, 2:53 pm
Quote: Originally posted by garyo1954 on Jan 13, 2023
Proof you don't know the first thing about probability.

Not an argument; it's a fact. Probability is a likelihood, not a guarantee.
Look it up, or continue to be an idiot.

prob·a·bil·i·ty

/ˌpräbəˈbilədē/
noun

the extent to which something is probable; the likelihood of something happening or being the case.

"the rain will make the probability of their arrival even greater"

Similar:

likelihood
likeliness

prospect

expectation

chance

chances

odds

possibility
a probable or the most probable event.

plural noun: probabilities

"for a time revolution was a strong probability"

Similar:

probable event
prospect

possibility
- good/fair/reasonable bet
- Mathematics
  
  the extent to which an event is likely to occur, measured by the ratio of the favorable cases to the whole number of cases possible.
  
  "the area under the curve represents probability"
Your choice.

G
He is definitely Doctor Crock ah shed..

{probability is NO guarantee} only your mounting losses will be Guaranteed

The gambler's fallacy is the belief that the probability for an outcome after a series of outcomes is not the same as the probability for a single outcome. The gambler's fallacy is real and true in cases where the events in question are independent and identically distributed.
Stat$talker

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Jan 17, 2023, 3:03 pm

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Jan 17, 2023
the past draws do count in any game of chance. Pascal demonstrated that truth hundreds of years ago.

"I really don't believed those statistical or probability mombo jumbo,"

Well, just bcuz YOU don't believe in Probability Math, duzzn't make it "mumbo jumbo"..

Why don't cha just admit... You don't understand itz Lawz.... and how dare you invoke the respectable name of Pascal, yet utter such ignorance..!!

-Stat$talker
rcbbuckeye

100

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Jan 17, 2023, 3:18 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Stat$talker on Jan 17, 2023
"I really don't believed those statistical or probability mombo jumbo,"

Well, just bcuz YOU don't believe in Probability Math, duzzn't make it "mumbo jumbo"..

Why don't cha just admit... You don't understand itz Lawz.... and how dare you invoke the respectable name of Pascal, yet utter such ignorance..!!

-Stat$talker

LOLOL

Actually, jenemay made that quote, not dr san.

"I really don't believed those statistical or probability mombo jumbo,"

CAN'T WIN IF YOU'RE NOT IN

A DOLLAR AND A DREAM (OR $2)

JUST LOOK AT THE ODDS OF ANY JACKPOT GAME, THAT WILL TELL YOU EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW
garyo1954

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Jan 17, 2023, 5:16 pm

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Jan 17, 2023
you can use three triplets of numbers with a fixed central digit, how is this fixed number chosen? repetition or delay in its frequency in its cycle.

Give us the reference to Pascal you are using. When you start with you "can".....well, you "can" use a lot of things that have nothing to do with triplets and still fall under the term probability theory.

I don't see what you're trying to say.

G

I'm probably here unless I'm not.
Dreaming would be a perfectly useless function if it's only purpose was to entertain.
eddessaknight

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Jan 17, 2023, 6:48 pm

Quote: Originally posted by dr san on Jan 11, 2023
How can past draws help predict the lottery?

Perhaps I can share a useful but arduous approach for Keno projections only, Pro Bono, if you are serious seeker PM me direct
Stat$talker

700 light yrs West of Milky Way Galaxy's Center
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Jan 17, 2023, 6:55 pm

Quote: Originally posted by ancient40 on Jan 17, 2023
He is definitely Doctor Crock ah shed..

Aaaww YOU..!! AGAIN?...
Stat$talker

700 light yrs West of Milky Way Galaxy's Center
United States
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September 1, 2019
4,410 Posts
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Jan 17, 2023, 7:07 pm

Quote: Originally posted by Jenemay on Jan 17, 2023
Sure past draws do count in the lottery and that is the format I used in predicting future draws. Base on my observation for over 15 years I've used yesterday results to predict todays draw. For example check up the PA lottery Treasure hunts game and you will noticed every individual number moves with a specific for a giving period. Staring from 1/1/22 to present, if 28 sure up in a draw today 23 , 26. and 17 have 80% chance of being in the next draw. Another example is 10 shows up in a draw and 16 pops up the next day. before a draw I will follow each number from the last draw for the past 360 draws, and by doing so I can choose my numbers to play. I really don't believed those statistical or probability mombo jumbo, I used pattern and can prove it by showing tickets predicting 4 numbers many time in a game.

"I used pattern and can prove it by showing tickets predicting 4 numbers many time in a game."

Oookaay..Since we ALL are from Missouri..the "Show Me" State...

SHOW US.. thoze ticketz

-Stat$talker

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