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Developing a winning MegaMillions System

Topic closed. 1111 replies. Last post 6 years ago by Stack47.

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RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
mid-Ohio
United States
Member #9
March 24, 2001
19900 Posts
Offline
Posted: November 1, 2008, 5:50 am - IP Logged

Winning numbers were  02 07 17 29 47 +40

  1. 05 27 41 46 52 +17
  2. 09 19 34 36 49 +30
  3. 07 28 31 33 43 +40
  4. 01 22 30 38 44 +39
  5. 18 29 40 50 54 +01
  6. 06 19 30 33 51 +41
  7. 02 13 33 34 49 +22
  8. 02 27 34 38 44 +21
  9. 13 27 33 38 44 +07
 10. 06 19 44 47 51 +15
 11. 05 19 31 32 43 +02
 12. 07 19 32 44 47 +42
 13. 15 28 42 45 47 +44
 14. 21 29 40 45 50 +05
 15. 06 13 16 27 47 +04
 16. 02 25 30 33 43 +12
 17. 07 16 32 34 47 +34
 18. 02 27 32 38 51 +16
 19. 07 25 38 43 49 +37
 20. 06 16 31 35 41 +10

 * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
   
             Evil Looking       

    DISCOTIKI's avatar - driver
    New Member
    YOUNGSTOWN, OHIO
    United States
    Member #64148
    August 20, 2008
    26 Posts
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    Posted: November 1, 2008, 7:11 am - IP Logged

    RJ..Congratulations on your win. Looks like 2 and 7 were begging you to put them together...keep on truckin! ~Eric

      fja's avatar - gnome1

      United States
      Member #91
      January 19, 2002
      12011 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: November 1, 2008, 12:37 pm - IP Logged
      01-04-20-42-48+42
      01-06-09-46-56+24
      01-08-11-32-55+12
      01-10-39-50-51+25
      01-17-18-28-37+09
      03-06-28-32-51+15
      03-08-20-50-56+05
      03-09-18-39-48+11
      04-06-37-45-50+41
      04-08-09-28-43+46
      04-18-51-55-56+13
      06-08-17-39-42+40
      06-10-43-48-55+30
      08-10-18-45-46+02
      08-34-37-48-51+37
      09-10-20-32-37+16
      09-17-34-50-55+21
      11-28-46-48-50+35
      17-20-43-46-51+18
      18-32-42-43-50+36

       

       

      20-linesplayedplayed  best 
      date  25-wb's20-mb's  combo
      27-Sep210+1
      30-Sep101+0
      3-Oct000+0
      7-Oct201+0
      10-Oct201+0
      14-OctDNPDNPDNP
      17-OctDNPDNPDNP
      21-Oct010+1
      24-Oct302+0
      28-Oct413+0 / 1+1
      31-Oct111+1
             
             
             

      "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

        Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
        CT
        United States
        Member #61398
        May 21, 2008
        781 Posts
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        Posted: November 1, 2008, 1:48 pm - IP Logged

        Result: 02 07 17 29 47 +40

        03-05-36-46-50 +4
        03-24-36-40-48 +36
        03-29-30-32-46 +37
        05-09-43-45-51 +16
        05-15-35-40-54 +18
        05-16-29-38-54 +21
        05-19-30-36-53 +34
        05-27-31-42-48 +38
        07-14-27-50-54 +39
        07-19-27-40-51 +7
        07-24-30-41-45 +13
        09-14-16-48-54 +44
        09-19-31-35-46 +2
        12-19-24-51-54 +22
        13-30-35-38-51 +30
        13-31-32-40-41 +40
        14-15-30-41-51 +17
        14-24-32-46-51 +35
        14-26-31-36-45 +11
        16-19-26-41-50 +32

        Only 2 of 5 WB's this draw, little slump for followers but I'll stick with it since the overall percentages are high.

          Avatar
          New Member
          Sydney
          Australia
          Member #66273
          October 21, 2008
          11 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: November 1, 2008, 5:13 pm - IP Logged

          You can compare your pool picks vs random play with a little math.

          100 * (Hits/numWB)  /  (poolWB/TotalWB)

           

          for example, my last game on Australian Powerball, I pooled 34 out of a total 45 white balls, and hit 5 of 5. Unfortunately, not enough together on one line for a payout.

          100 * (5/5) / (34/45)  = 132%.

          100% = random play.

          Of course, just one game is not enough to be statistically meaningful, but over time should build up a good picture of how good the system is.

          Amanda

            RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
            mid-Ohio
            United States
            Member #9
            March 24, 2001
            19900 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: November 1, 2008, 6:33 pm - IP Logged

            You can compare your pool picks vs random play with a little math.

            100 * (Hits/numWB)  /  (poolWB/TotalWB)

             

            for example, my last game on Australian Powerball, I pooled 34 out of a total 45 white balls, and hit 5 of 5. Unfortunately, not enough together on one line for a payout.

            100 * (5/5) / (34/45)  = 132%.

            100% = random play.

            Of course, just one game is not enough to be statistically meaningful, but over time should build up a good picture of how good the system is.

            Amanda

            What does that 132% tell you?  Are you saying by pooling 35 of the 45 numbers that your chances of having all 5 numbers are better than 100% which it would be if you pooled all 45 numbers?

             * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
               
                         Evil Looking       

              Avatar
              New Member
              Sydney
              Australia
              Member #66273
              October 21, 2008
              11 Posts
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              Posted: November 1, 2008, 7:12 pm - IP Logged

              It tells me I'm 32% ahead of random play.

              Picking 35 numbers at random should hit 35/45 * 5 = 3.9 numbers.

              It's just an interesting metric to gauge if a system is working. If you can't do better than random play, maybe you should stick to quik picks.

              Looking back through the posted selections and results, I think RJ is way ahead of random play.

              Amanda

                Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                CT
                United States
                Member #61398
                May 21, 2008
                781 Posts
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                Posted: November 2, 2008, 10:48 am - IP Logged

                Alright, these will be my pics for Tuesday.  I've encorporated a filter which looks at certain ranges in each ball position.  After realizing these statistics:

                 

                A (1-11)B (12-22)C (23-33)D (34-44)  E (45+)
                Pos. 165.81%27.92%4.84%1.42%0%
                Pos. 221.93%44.44%24.78%8.83%0%
                Pos. 33.703%23.64%34.18%31.9%6.55%
                Pos. 40.28%4.56%26.21%35.61%33.33%
                Pos. 50%0.57%5.98%22.5%70.94%

                 

                I have decided to create 63 tickets with a not-quite-optimal 2if2 and filter down to 20.  Filters I used are:

                Sums: 137-165

                Position 1 - A/B
                Position 2 - A/B/C
                Position 3 - B/C/D
                Position 4 - C/D/E
                Position 5 - D/E

                WB: 14,42,18,25,35,38,46,48,20,30,53,1,12,39,40,54,3,23,36,56,5,16,32,2,7,21,26,43,49,55,13,8 (FOLLOWERS)
                MB: 36,40,4,34,23,21,16,44,2,38,7,33,18,37,39,22,30,3,32,26 (Position Repeats)

                1. 01-20-32-54-55 +36
                2. 02-08-40-42-56 +40
                3. 02-14-38-40-54 +4
                4. 02-32-36-46-49 +34
                5. 03-07-42-46-54 +23
                6. 03-16-40-48-55 +21
                7. 03-32-35-39-56 +16
                8. 05-07-32-38-55 +44
                9. 05-18-21-42-54 +2
                10. 05-21-23-43-56 +38
                11. 07-13-32-40-54 +7
                12. 07-18-39-48-49 +33
                13. 07-20-35-36-49 +18
                14. 12-14-25-39-54 +37
                15. 12-20-21-38-48 +39
                16. 12-23-32-40-42 +22
                17. 14-16-20-42-56 +30
                18. 14-18-25-42-53 +3
                19. 16-21-25-32-53 +32
                20. 20-23-26-39-55 +26

                  RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                  mid-Ohio
                  United States
                  Member #9
                  March 24, 2001
                  19900 Posts
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                  Posted: November 3, 2008, 2:41 pm - IP Logged

                  Stew,

                  When you code the last 351 drawing results as follows:A (1-11) B (12-22) C (23-33) D (34-44)   E (45+), you come up with 95 different definitions of which 21 cover 51% of the drawings.

                  DEFINITIONS=AMT     %   total % 
                     1. BCDEE = 15         4         4
                     2. ABCDE = 14         3         8
                     3. ABDEE = 13         3         11
                     4. AABCE = 11         3         15
                     5. ABCCE = 10         2         17
                     6. BCCDE = 10         2         20
                     7. ABBCD =  9         2         23
                     8. ABBCE =  9         2         25
                     9. ABBDE =  9         2         28
                    10. ABCEE =  9         2         31
                    11. ABCCD =  8         2         33
                    12. BBCDE =  8         2         35
                    13. BCDDE =  8         2         37
                    14. AADEE =  7         1         39
                    15. ACDEE =  7         1         41
                    16. ABBCC =  6         1         43
                    17. ADDEE =  6         1         45
                    18. BCDDD =  6         1         47
                    19. AABDE =  5         1         48
                    20. ABCDD =  5         1         49
                    21. ABDDE =  5         1         51

                  Which ones do you use to eliminate combinations?

                   * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                     
                               Evil Looking       

                    Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                    CT
                    United States
                    Member #61398
                    May 21, 2008
                    781 Posts
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                    Posted: November 3, 2008, 3:32 pm - IP Logged

                    RJ, I look at each position individually ('A' or 'B' or 'C' ...), not in a string ('ABCCE', etc).  This allows me to eliminate tickets where, for example, the first position is not A or B (1-22), the second position is not A,B, or C (1-33), etc.

                    I started to program in so that I could pick which strings to keep and which to eliminate, but I found it just as effective (and less work) to look at each position individually.

                    I mentioned above that I am accepting any of those where the positions are:

                    Position 1 - A/B
                    Position 2 - A/B/C
                    Position 3 - B/C/D
                    Position 4 - C/D/E
                    Position 5 - D/E

                    This will allow a good percentage of the ABCDE strings to sneak through, but it does NOT allow any with numbers in the following positions:

                    Position 1 - C/D/E
                    Position 2 - D/E
                    Position 3 - A/E
                    Position 4 - A/B
                    Position 5 - A/B/C

                      Pick'em's avatar - Lottery-015.jpg
                      Plano
                      United States
                      Member #12225
                      March 8, 2005
                      25 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: November 3, 2008, 8:19 pm - IP Logged

                      RJ, I look at each position individually ('A' or 'B' or 'C' ...), not in a string ('ABCCE', etc).  This allows me to eliminate tickets where, for example, the first position is not A or B (1-22), the second position is not A,B, or C (1-33), etc.

                      I started to program in so that I could pick which strings to keep and which to eliminate, but I found it just as effective (and less work) to look at each position individually.

                      I mentioned above that I am accepting any of those where the positions are:

                      Position 1 - A/B
                      Position 2 - A/B/C
                      Position 3 - B/C/D
                      Position 4 - C/D/E
                      Position 5 - D/E

                      This will allow a good percentage of the ABCDE strings to sneak through, but it does NOT allow any with numbers in the following positions:

                      Position 1 - C/D/E
                      Position 2 - D/E
                      Position 3 - A/E
                      Position 4 - A/B
                      Position 5 - A/B/C

                      I like what you're doing, I understand what you are trying to convey here. I tried your system on paper this weekend with the Texas Lotto, I used your number's and used Gail Howards Advanced Lottery Software to generate the wheels and I hadtwo (5) out of (6) number's right and multiple (4) out of (6) right. I didn't play the number's, I was seeing how good they are, and man you're on to something. Keep up the Good Work. Tonight I'm gonna try it on the Texas Cash 5, but this time I'm gonna buy some ticket's.

                      Pick'em

                        Avatar
                        New Member
                        Sydney
                        Australia
                        Member #66273
                        October 21, 2008
                        11 Posts
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                        Posted: November 3, 2008, 9:08 pm - IP Logged

                        I filter my selections by position based on historical average +/- one standard deviation.

                        So my ranges are

                        1 - 17

                        4 - 28

                        11 - 35

                        20 - 42

                        29 - 45


                        This would allow aprox 62% of past draws to pass.

                        Amanda

                          Stew12's avatar - bad egg-64x64.png
                          CT
                          United States
                          Member #61398
                          May 21, 2008
                          781 Posts
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                          Posted: November 4, 2008, 10:32 am - IP Logged

                          I like what you're doing, I understand what you are trying to convey here. I tried your system on paper this weekend with the Texas Lotto, I used your number's and used Gail Howards Advanced Lottery Software to generate the wheels and I hadtwo (5) out of (6) number's right and multiple (4) out of (6) right. I didn't play the number's, I was seeing how good they are, and man you're on to something. Keep up the Good Work. Tonight I'm gonna try it on the Texas Cash 5, but this time I'm gonna buy some ticket's.

                          Pick'em

                          Wow, that's good to hear Pick'em.  Keep us posted and good luck!

                            fja's avatar - gnome1

                            United States
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                            January 19, 2002
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                            Posted: November 4, 2008, 9:34 pm - IP Logged
                            02-03-29-41-42+42
                            02-04-22-38-47+24
                            02-07-10-45-56+12
                            02-08-17-28-55+25
                            02-11-37-49-53+09
                            03-07-24-28-53+15
                            03-08-22-49-56+05
                            03-10-21-37-47+11
                            03-34-38-45-55+41
                            04-07-34-42-49+46
                            04-08-10-24-41+13
                            04-28-29-37-45+07
                            07-08-20-37-38+39
                            07-11-41-47-55+44
                            08-11-21-42-45+04
                            08-29-34-47-53+34
                            10-17-38-42-53+23
                            10-20-29-49-55+38
                            11-24-29-38-56+36
                            17-24-45-47-49+40

                            "Everybody has to believe in something...I believe I'll have another beer!"   = W.C.Fields                      

                              RJOh's avatar - chipmunk
                              mid-Ohio
                              United States
                              Member #9
                              March 24, 2001
                              19900 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: November 4, 2008, 10:18 pm - IP Logged

                              I started out using all 56 WB and 28 of the 46 MB numbers but only needed 30 WB and 20 MB with the parameters I used to get 20 lines.

                              WB:01 02 05 06 09 13 15 16 17 19 22 23 24 25 27 29 30 32 33 34 36 38 43 44 45 46 49 50 51 54
                              MB:01 02 04 05 07 10 11 12 15 16 21 22 23 30 34 35 37 39 41 44

                                1. 19 29 30 43 45 +22
                                2. 17 25 34 43 44 +23
                                3. 05 16 32 38 51 +16
                                4. 01 24 27 36 49 +12
                                5. 01 22 29 30 44 +34
                                6. 19 24 33 36 54 +35
                                7. 09 13 16 33 45 +39
                                8. 06 25 32 44 49 +11
                                9. 19 33 38 49 51 +04
                               10. 05 06 17 27 43 +44
                               11. 09 17 34 38 45 +05
                               12. 13 17 27 30 49 +07
                               13. 01 23 36 38 44 +21
                               14. 01 16 23 24 45 +41
                               15. 06 16 38 43 49 +10
                               16. 13 29 32 34 45 +37
                               17. 17 32 33 44 51 +30
                               18. 02 15 16 33 46 +01
                               19. 05 19 22 29 50 +02
                               20. 01 19 29 32 43 +15

                               * you don't need to buy more tickets, just buy a winning ticket * 
                                 
                                           Evil Looking       

                                 
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