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Quote: Originally posted by RJOh on Mar 26, 2013
You have to know what you are suggesting is a waste of time for testing any strategy other than buying a single quick pick.
The PB simulation you mentioned is simply picking one of 175 millions possible PB combinations to represent the player's numbers and another one to represent the drawing. The only thing it comes close to simulating is buying one PB quick pick for a single drawing.
Brad Duke strategy sounds dynamic, that is it changed after each drawing based on previous drawings and included 300 combinations. In order to come close to testing his strategy or any other strategy other than buying a single quick pick, the simulator would has to be capably of picking a group of combinations using parameters entered by the player and going back and using previous drawings results for comparisons.
RJOh,
You missed the point of my post, which is getting to be par for the course here. You're correct that the simulator won't let you single step or run multiple lines against the random draws it generates. However, you CAN uncheck the "Quick Pick" box and manually set your single line of numbers to whatever you want, for a minimum of 104 random draws. If you could be convinced that what happened in past draws is having NO impact on what happens today, or tomorrow, you might find the simulator of some value to do things like observe the effect on your ROI of choosing Powerplay.But for some people, giving up this belief must be harder than giving up cigarettes or alcohol.
What you are asking for is a Backtester, not a Simulator, and just a few days ago you demoed yours and backtested 2 sets of 45 lines for MM. Remember? I'm sure your program can deal with 300 lines of input as well as 45. The problem with servicing Stack47's "m IF n of y" sets is that he has now informed us that you must enter your "y" numbers in different orders. You'd better give your program to him, as the PERMUTATIONS of 39, 28, or even 15 numbers presents you with quite a time consuming task. And that doesn't even begin to help you decide WHICH input order is the winning one [for the NEXT draw.]
BTW, you must have forgotten that JADELottery demonstrated a long time ago, quite convincingly, that the results of playing one line for many draws is the same as playing many lines for one draw. (And his "many" was very large!) This can also be observed while running the simulator at JustWebWare by turning QuickPick on and off.
mid-Ohio United States
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Quote: Originally posted by jimmy4164 on Mar 26, 2013
RJOh,
You missed the point of my post, which is getting to be par for the course here. You're correct that the simulator won't let you single step or run multiple lines against the random draws it generates. However, you CAN uncheck the "Quick Pick" box and manually set your single line of numbers to whatever you want, for a minimum of 104 random draws. If you could be convinced that what happened in past draws is having NO impact on what happens today, or tomorrow, you might find the simulator of some value to do things like observe the effect on your ROI of choosing Powerplay.But for some people, giving up this belief must be harder than giving up cigarettes or alcohol.
What you are asking for is a Backtester, not a Simulator, and just a few days ago you demoed yours and backtested 2 sets of 45 lines for MM. Remember? I'm sure your program can deal with 300 lines of input as well as 45. The problem with servicing Stack47's "m IF n of y" sets is that he has now informed us that you must enter your "y" numbers in different orders. You'd better give your program to him, as the PERMUTATIONS of 39, 28, or even 15 numbers presents you with quite a time consuming task. And that doesn't even begin to help you decide WHICH input order is the winning one [for the NEXT draw.]
BTW, you must have forgotten that JADELottery demonstrated a long time ago, quite convincingly, that the results of playing one line for many draws is the same as playing many lines for one draw. (And his "many" was very large!) This can also be observed while running the simulator at JustWebWare by turning QuickPick on and off.
--Jimmy4164
I didn't miss your point, I just didn't agree with it. I don't think you can test a strategy by picking a line and comparing it with previous drawings or by using a simulator to see the chances of it winning something.
When I compared the 2 sets of 45 lines for MM, that wasn't back testing but simply checking to see if any of those combinations had won anything in past drawings. Since combinations of 4 and 5 almost never repeat, that could be part of a strategy for picking combinations to play.
As you suggested, a back testing program is not a simulator and since I don't have one I usually enter the winning numbers into the program I use for picking combinations after each drawing to get an idea of what I should look for to pick a winner so I'm actually forward testing. I believe that helped me match 5of6 in OCL last month.
* you don't need to buy every combination, just the winning ones *
The Hall Of The Mountain Kings Tennessee United States
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Quote: Originally posted by mcginnin56 on Mar 27, 2013
Same lame, un-original windbag.
Different day.
How original do you want me to get, McDoofus?
Is posting strings of emoticons like you do all day original enough? Because we all stand in awe of your never-ending original emoticon displays. We never get tired of that! They're absolutely fascinating! So fresh and original! Like this ------> <----- How's that? Original enough? Hilarious, ain't it?
Or should I post a picture of some 20 year old guy one week and say it's me and then the following week post a full-page picture of some scrawny, gay-lookin' 60 year old guy with some beastly lookin' old hag and say that's me too with my girlfriend?