Believe me I know my math skills are desperate need of refinement. Like you somewhat mentioned, I'm more concerned about the concept of what it all generally means and the end result. I'll leave it up to the logical left brainers to come up with the optimal prediction model that best represents my systems. I don't know why it works....it just does. It's so simple and this system is universally applicable to all lottery games.
It blows my mind to think that something as simple as plotting the trajectory and frequency wave of lottery numbers can and obviously will lead to making the most accurate predictions. I really need a software developer because I have a few ideas to be even more accurate. I sense a way to predict just 1 number in each position and get a straight hit.
but anyway I'll check out Marc Fredettes' thesis eventhough I know there is a high chance I won't understand any of it....
Abstract In this thesis, we will study issues related to prediction problems and put an
emphasis on those arising when recurrent events are involved. First we define the basic
concepts of frequentist and Bayesian statistical prediction in the first chapter. In the second
chapter, we study frequentist prediction intervals and their associated predictive
distributions. We will then present an approach based on asymptotically uniform pivotals that
is shown to dominate the plug-in approach under certain conditions.