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The odds of both neither, just one.

Topic closed. 148 replies. Last post 10 years ago by Prob988.

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New Jersey
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Member #21206
September 4, 2005
949 Posts
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Posted: October 8, 2006, 1:24 am - IP Logged
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.90.30%
Megamillions Rolls90.82%
Both Roll82.02%
Powerball Rolls, MM won8.29%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.81%
Both won.0.89%
Either, but not both, won17.09%
Expectation Value TypeValue
Pretax Powerball cash basis0.285
Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.292
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$19,800,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$34,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$13,200,000.00
Powerball Annuity Value$27,000,000.00
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    New Jersey
    United States
    Member #21206
    September 4, 2005
    949 Posts
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    Posted: October 12, 2006, 8:31 am - IP Logged
    Type of OutcomeProbability
    Powerball Rolls.90.11%
    Megamillions Rolls90.82%
    Both Roll81.84%
    Powerball Rolls, MM won8.27%
    MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.98%
    Both won.0.91%
    Either, but not both, won17.25%
    Expectation Value TypeValue
    Pretax Powerball cash basis0.317
    Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.292
    Prize Values
    MegaMillions Cash Value$26,200,000
    MegaMillions Annuity Value$45,000,000
    Powerball Cash Value$18,000,000.00
    Powerball Annuity Value$37,000,000.00
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      New Jersey
      United States
      Member #21206
      September 4, 2005
      949 Posts
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      Posted: October 15, 2006, 9:03 am - IP Logged
      Type of OutcomeProbability
      Powerball Rolls.89.76%
      Megamillions Rolls89.49%
      Both Roll80.33%
      Powerball Rolls, MM won9.43%
      MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.16%
      Both won.1.08%
      Either, but not both, won18.60%
      Expectation Value TypeValue
      Pretax Powerball cash basis0.346
      Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.357
      Prize Values
      MegaMillions Cash Value$31,700,000
      MegaMillions Annuity Value$55,000,000
      Powerball Cash Value$22,400,000.00
      Powerball Annuity Value$47,000,000.00
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        New Jersey
        United States
        Member #21206
        September 4, 2005
        949 Posts
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        Posted: October 19, 2006, 2:26 pm - IP Logged
        Type of OutcomeProbability
        Powerball Rolls.89.22%
        Megamillions Rolls91.67%
        Both Roll81.79%
        Powerball Rolls, MM won7.43%
        MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.88%
        Both won.0.90%
        Either, but not both, won17.31%
        Expectation Value TypeValue
        Pretax Powerball cash basis0.381
        Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.220
        Prize Values
        MegaMillions Cash Value$6,900,000
        MegaMillions Annuity Value$12,000,000
        Powerball Cash Value$27,700,000.00
        Powerball Annuity Value$59,000,000.00
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          New Jersey
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          Member #21206
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          949 Posts
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          Posted: October 22, 2006, 9:02 am - IP Logged
          Type of OutcomeProbability
          Powerball Rolls.88.95%
          Megamillions Rolls91.81%
          Both Roll81.67%
          Powerball Rolls, MM won7.28%
          MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.14%
          Both won.0.90%
          Either, but not both, won17.43%
          Expectation Value TypeValue
          Pretax Powerball cash basis0.414
          Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.233
          Prize Values
          MegaMillions Cash Value$9,200,000
          MegaMillions Annuity Value$16,000,000
          Powerball Cash Value$32,600,000.00
          Powerball Annuity Value$70,000,000.00
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            New Jersey
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            Member #21206
            September 4, 2005
            949 Posts
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            Posted: October 26, 2006, 9:50 am - IP Logged
            Type of OutcomeProbability
            Powerball Rolls.88.16%
            Megamillions Rolls91.31%
            Both Roll80.50%
            Powerball Rolls, MM won7.66%
            MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.82%
            Both won.1.03%
            Either, but not both, won18.47%
            Expectation Value TypeValue
            Pretax Powerball cash basis0.454
            Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.259
            Prize Values
            MegaMillions Cash Value$13,856,808
            MegaMillions Annuity Value$24,000,000
            Powerball Cash Value$38,800,000.00
            Powerball Annuity Value$83,000,000.00
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              New Jersey
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              Member #21206
              September 4, 2005
              949 Posts
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              Posted: October 29, 2006, 1:44 am - IP Logged
              Type of OutcomeProbability
              Powerball Rolls.86.53%
              Megamillions Rolls90.85%
              Both Roll78.62%
              Powerball Rolls, MM won7.91%
              MM Rolls, Powerball won.12.24%
              Both won.1.23%
              Either, but not both, won20.15%
              Expectation Value TypeValue
              Pretax Powerball cash basis0.487
              Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.286
              Prize Values
              MegaMillions Cash Value$18,700,000
              MegaMillions Annuity Value$32,000,000
              Powerball Cash Value$44,000,000.00
              Powerball Annuity Value$93,000,000.00
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                New Jersey
                United States
                Member #21206
                September 4, 2005
                949 Posts
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                Posted: October 31, 2006, 10:02 am - IP Logged

                I have updated the spreadsheet used for this thread to include some additional data that seems to be of interest.    If anyone finds this too cluttered, please let me know:

                 

                Prize Values
                MegaMillions Cash Value$18,700,000
                MegaMillions Annuity Value$32,000,000
                Powerball Cash Value$44,000,000.00
                Powerball Annuity Value$93,000,000.00
                Type of OutcomeProbability
                Powerball Rolls.86.53%
                Megamillions Rolls90.85%
                Both Roll78.62%
                Powerball Rolls, MM won7.91%
                MM Rolls, Powerball won.12.24%
                Both won.1.23%
                Either, but not both, won20.15%
                Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                MM exceeds 100M annuity45.95%
                MM exceeds 200M annuity17.48%
                MM exceeds 300M annuity5.67%
                PB exceeds 100M annuity86.47%
                PB exceeds 200M annuity36.04%
                PB exceeds 300M annuity10.56%
                Expectation Value TypeValue
                Pretax Powerball cash basis0.487
                Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.286
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                  New Jersey
                  United States
                  Member #21206
                  September 4, 2005
                  949 Posts
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                  Posted: November 2, 2006, 5:02 am - IP Logged
                  Prize Values
                  MegaMillions Cash Value$24,600,000
                  MegaMillions Annuity Value$42,000,000
                  Powerball Cash Value$7,100,000
                  Powerball Annuity Value$15,000,000
                  Type of OutcomeProbability
                  Powerball Rolls.90.46%
                  Megamillions Rolls89.92%
                  Both Roll81.34%
                  Powerball Rolls, MM won9.12%
                  MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.58%
                  Both won.0.96%
                  Either, but not both, won17.70%
                  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                  MM exceeds 100M annuity50.39%
                  MM exceeds 200M annuity19.18%
                  MM exceeds 300M annuity6.22%
                  PB exceeds 100M annuity35.33%
                  PB exceeds 200M annuity14.65%
                  PB exceeds 300M annuity4.26%
                  Neither exceeds 300M annuity89.79%
                  Either exceeds 300M10.48%
                  Expectation Value TypeValue
                  Pretax Powerball cash basis0.244
                  Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.318
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                    New Jersey
                    United States
                    Member #21206
                    September 4, 2005
                    949 Posts
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                    Posted: November 5, 2006, 1:46 am - IP Logged
                    Prize Values
                    MegaMillions Cash Value$30,500,000
                    MegaMillions Annuity Value$52,000,000
                    Powerball Cash Value$9,400,000
                    Powerball Annuity Value$20,000,000
                    Type of OutcomeProbability
                    Powerball Rolls.90.65%
                    Megamillions Rolls89.56%
                    Both Roll81.18%
                    Powerball Rolls, MM won9.46%
                    MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.38%
                    Both won.0.98%
                    Either, but not both, won17.84%
                    Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                    MM exceeds 100M annuity55.95%
                    MM exceeds 200M annuity21.30%
                    MM exceeds 300M annuity6.91%
                    PB exceeds 100M annuity38.46%
                    PB exceeds 200M annuity15.95%
                    PB exceeds 300M annuity4.63%
                    Neither exceeds 300M annuity88.78%
                    Either exceeds 300M11.54%
                    Expectation Value TypeValue
                    Pretax Powerball cash basis0.260
                    Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.351
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                      New Jersey
                      United States
                      Member #21206
                      September 4, 2005
                      949 Posts
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                      Posted: November 9, 2006, 1:14 am - IP Logged
                      Prize Values
                      MegaMillions Cash Value$37,100,000
                      MegaMillions Annuity Value$63,000,000
                      Powerball Cash Value$12,900,000
                      Powerball Annuity Value$27,000,000
                      Type of OutcomeProbability
                      Powerball Rolls.90.30%
                      Megamillions Rolls88.39%
                      Both Roll79.82%
                      Powerball Rolls, MM won10.48%
                      MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.57%
                      Both won.1.13%
                      Either, but not both, won19.05%
                      Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                      MM exceeds 100M annuity63.01%
                      MM exceeds 200M annuity23.99%
                      MM exceeds 300M annuity7.78%
                      PB exceeds 100M annuity42.22%
                      PB exceeds 200M annuity17.51%
                      PB exceeds 300M annuity5.09%
                      Neither exceeds 300M annuity87.53%
                      Either exceeds 300M12.87%
                      Both exceed 300M0.40%
                      Expectation Value TypeValue
                      Pretax Powerball cash basis0.283
                      Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.387
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                        New Jersey
                        United States
                        Member #21206
                        September 4, 2005
                        949 Posts
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                        Posted: November 12, 2006, 7:39 am - IP Logged
                        Prize Values
                        MegaMillions Cash Value$44,300,000
                        MegaMillions Annuity Value$75,000,000
                        Powerball Cash Value$16,900,000
                        Powerball Annuity Value$35,000,000
                        Type of OutcomeProbability
                        Powerball Rolls.89.96%
                        Megamillions Rolls87.61%
                        Both Roll78.81%
                        Powerball Rolls, MM won11.14%
                        MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.80%
                        Both won.1.24%
                        Either, but not both, won19.94%
                        Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                        MM exceeds 100M annuity72.11%
                        MM exceeds 200M annuity27.45%
                        MM exceeds 300M annuity8.91%
                        PB exceeds 100M annuity46.67%
                        PB exceeds 200M annuity19.36%
                        PB exceeds 300M annuity5.62%
                        Neither exceeds 300M annuity85.97%
                        Either exceeds 300M14.53%
                        Both exceed 300M0.50%
                        Expectation Value TypeValue
                        Pretax Powerball cash basis0.310
                        Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.426
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                          New Jersey
                          United States
                          Member #21206
                          September 4, 2005
                          949 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: November 16, 2006, 8:12 am - IP Logged
                          Prize Values
                          MegaMillions Cash Value$7,100,000
                          MegaMillions Annuity Value$12,000,000
                          Powerball Cash Value$21,500,000
                          Powerball Annuity Value$45,000,000
                          Type of OutcomeProbability
                          Powerball Rolls.89.75%
                          Megamillions Rolls91.71%
                          Both Roll82.31%
                          Powerball Rolls, MM won7.44%
                          MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.40%
                          Both won.0.85%
                          Either, but not both, won16.84%
                          Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                          MM exceeds 100M annuity37.10%
                          MM exceeds 200M annuity14.13%
                          MM exceeds 300M annuity4.58%
                          PB exceeds 100M annuity52.02%
                          PB exceeds 200M annuity21.57%
                          PB exceeds 300M annuity6.27%
                          Neither exceeds 300M annuity89.44%
                          Either exceeds 300M10.85%
                          Both exceed 300M0.29%
                          Expectation Value TypeValue
                          Pretax Powerball cash basis0.340
                          Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.221
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                            New Jersey
                            United States
                            Member #21206
                            September 4, 2005
                            949 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: November 19, 2006, 12:55 am - IP Logged
                            Prize Values
                            MegaMillions Cash Value$9,400,000
                            MegaMillions Annuity Value$16,000,000
                            Powerball Cash Value$26,100,000
                            Powerball Annuity Value$54,000,000
                            Type of OutcomeProbability
                            Powerball Rolls.89.08%
                            Megamillions Rolls91.85%
                            Both Roll81.82%
                            Powerball Rolls, MM won7.26%
                            MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.03%
                            Both won.0.89%
                            Either, but not both, won17.29%
                            Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                            MM exceeds 100M annuity39.51%
                            MM exceeds 200M annuity15.04%
                            MM exceeds 300M annuity4.88%
                            PB exceeds 100M annuity58.38%
                            PB exceeds 200M annuity24.21%
                            PB exceeds 300M annuity7.03%
                            Neither exceeds 300M annuity88.43%
                            Either exceeds 300M11.91%
                            Both exceed 300M0.34%
                            Expectation Value TypeValue
                            Pretax Powerball cash basis0.371
                            Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.234
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                              New Jersey
                              United States
                              Member #21206
                              September 4, 2005
                              949 Posts
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                              Posted: November 23, 2006, 12:20 am - IP Logged
                              Prize Values
                              MegaMillions Cash Value$13,600,000
                              MegaMillions Annuity Value$23,000,000
                              Powerball Cash Value$31,100,000
                              Powerball Annuity Value$64,000,000
                              Type of OutcomeProbability
                              Powerball Rolls.88.91%
                              Megamillions Rolls91.32%
                              Both Roll81.20%
                              Powerball Rolls, MM won7.71%
                              MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.13%
                              Both won.0.96%
                              Either, but not both, won17.84%
                              Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
                              MM exceeds 100M annuity42.44%
                              MM exceeds 200M annuity16.16%
                              MM exceeds 300M annuity5.24%
                              PB exceeds 100M annuity66.05%
                              PB exceeds 200M annuity27.39%
                              PB exceeds 300M annuity7.96%
                              Neither exceeds 300M annuity87.22%
                              Either exceeds 300M13.20%
                              Both exceed 300M0.42%
                              Expectation Value TypeValue
                              Pretax Powerball cash basis0.404
                              Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.258
                                 
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