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The odds of both neither, just one.

Topic closed. 148 replies. Last post 10 years ago by Prob988.

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United States
Member #16612
June 2, 2005
3493 Posts
Offline
Posted: November 26, 2006, 3:08 pm - IP Logged

Prob988, PB and MM has rolled. I hope PB continues to roll until it hits 365+ million.

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    New Jersey
    United States
    Member #21206
    September 4, 2005
    949 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: November 26, 2006, 8:21 pm - IP Logged
    Prize Values
    MegaMillions Cash Value$18,400,000
    MegaMillions Annuity Value$31,000,000
    Powerball Cash Value$36,000,000
    Powerball Annuity Value$74,000,000
    Type of OutcomeProbability
    Powerball Rolls.88.02%
    Megamillions Rolls90.90%
    Both Roll80.01%
    Powerball Rolls, MM won8.01%
    MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.89%
    Both won.1.09%
    Either, but not both, won18.90%
    Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
    MM exceeds 100M annuity46.02%
    MM exceeds 200M annuity17.52%
    MM exceeds 300M annuity5.68%
    PB exceeds 100M annuity66.05%
    PB exceeds 200M annuity27.39%
    PB exceeds 300M annuity7.96%
    Neither exceeds 300M annuity86.81%
    Either exceeds 300M13.64%
    Both exceed 300M0.45%
    Expectation Value TypeValue
    Pretax Powerball cash basis0.436
    Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.284
      Avatar
      New Jersey
      United States
      Member #21206
      September 4, 2005
      949 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: November 30, 2006, 8:44 am - IP Logged
      Prize Values
      MegaMillions Cash Value$23,900,000
      MegaMillions Annuity Value$40,000,000
      Powerball Cash Value$7,300,000
      Powerball Annuity Value$15,000,000
      Type of OutcomeProbability
      Powerball Rolls.90.40%
      Megamillions Rolls89.94%
      Both Roll81.31%
      Powerball Rolls, MM won9.10%
      MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.63%
      Both won.0.97%
      Either, but not both, won17.73%
      Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
      MM exceeds 100M annuity50.46%
      MM exceeds 200M annuity19.22%
      MM exceeds 300M annuity6.23%
      PB exceeds 100M annuity35.32%
      PB exceeds 200M annuity14.66%
      PB exceeds 300M annuity4.26%
      Neither exceeds 300M annuity89.77%
      Either exceeds 300M10.49%
      Both exceed 300M0.27%
      Expectation Value TypeValue
      Pretax Powerball cash basis0.246
      Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.314
        Avatar
        New Jersey
        United States
        Member #21206
        September 4, 2005
        949 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: December 3, 2006, 10:21 am - IP Logged
        Prize Values
        MegaMillions Cash Value$7,100,000
        MegaMillions Annuity Value$12,000,000
        Powerball Cash Value$9,800,000
        Powerball Annuity Value$20,000,000
        Type of OutcomeProbability
        Powerball Rolls.90.68%
        Megamillions Rolls91.72%
        Both Roll83.17%
        Powerball Rolls, MM won7.51%
        MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.55%
        Both won.0.77%
        Either, but not both, won16.06%
        Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
        MM exceeds 100M annuity37.15%
        MM exceeds 200M annuity14.15%
        MM exceeds 300M annuity4.59%
        PB exceeds 100M annuity38.48%
        PB exceeds 200M annuity15.97%
        PB exceeds 300M annuity4.64%
        Neither exceeds 300M annuity90.98%
        Either exceeds 300M9.23%
        Both exceed 300M0.21%
        Expectation Value TypeValue
        Pretax Powerball cash basis0.263
        Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.221
          Avatar
          New Jersey
          United States
          Member #21206
          September 4, 2005
          949 Posts
          Offline
          Posted: December 7, 2006, 9:11 am - IP Logged
          Prize Values
          MegaMillions Cash Value$9,000,000
          MegaMillions Annuity Value$15,000,000
          Powerball Cash Value$12,300,000
          Powerball Annuity Value$25,000,000
          Type of OutcomeProbability
          Powerball Rolls.90.24%
          Megamillions Rolls91.87%
          Both Roll82.91%
          Powerball Rolls, MM won7.33%
          MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.96%
          Both won.0.79%
          Either, but not both, won16.30%
          Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
          MM exceeds 100M annuity39.58%
          MM exceeds 200M annuity15.08%
          MM exceeds 300M annuity4.89%
          PB exceeds 100M annuity42.25%
          PB exceeds 200M annuity17.53%
          PB exceeds 300M annuity5.09%
          Neither exceeds 300M annuity90.27%
          Either exceeds 300M9.98%
          Both exceed 300M0.25%
          Expectation Value TypeValue
          Pretax Powerball cash basis0.279
          Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.232
            Avatar
            New Jersey
            United States
            Member #21206
            September 4, 2005
            949 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: December 11, 2006, 9:48 pm - IP Logged
            Prize Values
            MegaMillions Cash Value$13,100,000
            MegaMillions Annuity Value$22,000,000
            Powerball Cash Value$16,000,000
            Powerball Annuity Value$33,000,000
            Type of OutcomeProbability
            Powerball Rolls.90.01%
            Megamillions Rolls91.33%
            Both Roll82.20%
            Powerball Rolls, MM won7.80%
            MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.12%
            Both won.0.87%
            Either, but not both, won16.93%
            Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
            MM exceeds 100M annuity42.50%
            MM exceeds 200M annuity16.19%
            MM exceeds 300M annuity5.25%
            PB exceeds 100M annuity46.71%
            PB exceeds 200M annuity19.38%
            PB exceeds 300M annuity5.63%
            Neither exceeds 300M annuity89.42%
            Either exceeds 300M10.88%
            Both exceed 300M0.30%
            Expectation Value TypeValue
            Pretax Powerball cash basis0.304
            Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.255
              Avatar
              New Jersey
              United States
              Member #21206
              September 4, 2005
              949 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: December 14, 2006, 9:31 am - IP Logged
              Prize Values
              MegaMillions Cash Value$17,900,000
              MegaMillions Annuity Value$30,000,000
              Powerball Cash Value$21,200,000
              Powerball Annuity Value$43,000,000
              Type of OutcomeProbability
              Powerball Rolls.90.06%
              Megamillions Rolls90.94%
              Both Roll81.90%
              Powerball Rolls, MM won8.16%
              MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.04%
              Both won.0.90%
              Either, but not both, won17.20%
              Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
              MM exceeds 100M annuity46.09%
              MM exceeds 200M annuity17.56%
              MM exceeds 300M annuity5.69%
              PB exceeds 100M annuity52.05%
              PB exceeds 200M annuity21.60%
              PB exceeds 300M annuity6.27%
              Neither exceeds 300M annuity88.39%
              Either exceeds 300M11.97%
              Both exceed 300M0.36%
              Expectation Value TypeValue
              Pretax Powerball cash basis0.338
              Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.281
                Avatar
                New Jersey
                United States
                Member #21206
                September 4, 2005
                949 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: December 17, 2006, 8:11 am - IP Logged
                Prize Values
                MegaMillions Cash Value$23,900,000
                MegaMillions Annuity Value$40,000,000
                Powerball Cash Value$25,900,000
                Powerball Annuity Value$53,000,000
                Type of OutcomeProbability
                Powerball Rolls.89.68%
                Megamillions Rolls89.97%
                Both Roll80.69%
                Powerball Rolls, MM won8.99%
                MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.28%
                Both won.1.03%
                Either, but not both, won18.27%
                Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                MM exceeds 100M annuity50.51%
                MM exceeds 200M annuity19.24%
                MM exceeds 300M annuity6.24%
                PB exceeds 100M annuity58.43%
                PB exceeds 200M annuity24.24%
                PB exceeds 300M annuity7.04%
                Neither exceeds 300M annuity87.16%
                Either exceeds 300M13.28%
                Both exceed 300M0.44%
                Expectation Value TypeValue
                Pretax Powerball cash basis0.370
                Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.314
                  Avatar
                  New Jersey
                  United States
                  Member #21206
                  September 4, 2005
                  949 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: December 21, 2006, 6:38 am - IP Logged
                  Prize Values
                  MegaMillions Cash Value$29,700,000
                  MegaMillions Annuity Value$50,000,000
                  Powerball Cash Value$31,600,000
                  Powerball Annuity Value$65,000,000
                  Type of OutcomeProbability
                  Powerball Rolls.88.93%
                  Megamillions Rolls89.60%
                  Both Roll79.68%
                  Powerball Rolls, MM won9.25%
                  MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.92%
                  Both won.1.15%
                  Either, but not both, won19.17%
                  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                  MM exceeds 100M annuity56.07%
                  MM exceeds 200M annuity21.37%
                  MM exceeds 300M annuity6.93%
                  PB exceeds 100M annuity66.09%
                  PB exceeds 200M annuity27.42%
                  PB exceeds 300M annuity7.97%
                  Neither exceeds 300M annuity85.66%
                  Either exceeds 300M14.89%
                  Both exceed 300M0.55%
                  Expectation Value TypeValue
                  Pretax Powerball cash basis0.407
                  Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.346

                    United States
                    Member #16612
                    June 2, 2005
                    3493 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: December 24, 2006, 12:22 am - IP Logged

                    Prob988, both MM and PB jackpots have rolled this draw.

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                      New Jersey
                      United States
                      Member #21206
                      September 4, 2005
                      949 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: December 24, 2006, 12:42 am - IP Logged
                      Prize Values
                      MegaMillions Cash Value$35,600,000
                      MegaMillions Annuity Value$60,000,000
                      Powerball Cash Value$36,300,000
                      Powerball Annuity Value$75,000,000
                      Type of OutcomeProbability
                      Powerball Rolls.88.11%
                      Megamillions Rolls88.45%
                      Both Roll77.93%
                      Powerball Rolls, MM won10.18%
                      MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.52%
                      Both won.1.37%
                      Either, but not both, won20.69%
                      Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                      MM exceeds 100M annuity63.10%
                      MM exceeds 200M annuity24.05%
                      MM exceeds 300M annuity7.80%
                      PB exceeds 100M annuity75.30%
                      PB exceeds 200M annuity31.25%
                      PB exceeds 300M annuity9.08%
                      Neither exceeds 300M annuity83.84%
                      Either exceeds 300M16.87%
                      Both exceed 300M0.71%
                      Expectation Value TypeValue
                      Pretax Powerball cash basis0.438
                      Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.378

                        United States
                        Member #16612
                        June 2, 2005
                        3493 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: December 28, 2006, 12:18 am - IP Logged

                        Based on the analysis, both MM and PB jackpots have rolled.

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                          New Jersey
                          United States
                          Member #21206
                          September 4, 2005
                          949 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: December 28, 2006, 12:59 am - IP Logged
                          Prize Values
                          MegaMillions Cash Value$42,700,000
                          MegaMillions Annuity Value$72,000,000
                          Powerball Cash Value$42,800,000
                          Powerball Annuity Value$88,000,000
                          Type of OutcomeProbability
                          Powerball Rolls.86.57%
                          Megamillions Rolls87.68%
                          Both Roll75.90%
                          Powerball Rolls, MM won10.66%
                          MM Rolls, Powerball won.11.78%
                          Both won.1.65%
                          Either, but not both, won22.44%
                          Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                          MM exceeds 100M annuity72.20%
                          MM exceeds 200M annuity27.53%
                          MM exceeds 300M annuity8.93%
                          PB exceeds 100M annuity86.46%
                          PB exceeds 200M annuity35.90%
                          PB exceeds 300M annuity10.43%
                          Neither exceeds 300M annuity81.58%
                          Either exceeds 300M19.35%
                          Both exceed 300M0.93%
                          Expectation Value TypeValue
                          Pretax Powerball cash basis0.480
                          Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.417
                            Avatar
                            New Jersey
                            United States
                            Member #21206
                            September 4, 2005
                            949 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: January 1, 2007, 10:43 pm - IP Logged
                            Prize Values
                            MegaMillions Cash Value$49,000,000
                            MegaMillions Annuity Value$84,000,000
                            Powerball Cash Value$47,700,000
                            Powerball Annuity Value$100,000,000
                            Type of OutcomeProbability
                            Powerball Rolls.86.08%
                            Megamillions Rolls86.18%
                            Both Roll74.18%
                            Powerball Rolls, MM won11.90%
                            MM Rolls, Powerball won.12.00%
                            Both won.1.92%
                            Either, but not both, won23.90%
                            Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                            MM exceeds 100M annuity84.09%
                            MM exceeds 200M annuity32.06%
                            MM exceeds 300M annuity10.40%
                            PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
                            PB exceeds 200M annuity41.52%
                            PB exceeds 300M annuity12.06%
                            Neither exceeds 300M annuity78.80%
                            Either exceeds 300M22.46%
                            Both exceed 300M1.25%
                            Expectation Value TypeValue
                            Pretax Powerball cash basis0.511
                            Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.450

                              United States
                              Member #16612
                              June 2, 2005
                              3493 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: January 4, 2007, 1:27 am - IP Logged

                              Prob988, both MM and PB both rolled in the last draw.

                                 
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