The odds of both neither, just one.Prev TopicNext Topic

• Just6ntlc

  United States
  Member #16,611
  June 2, 2005
  3,493 Posts
  Offline
  Nov 26, 2006, 3:08 pm

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  Prob988, PB and MM has rolled. I hope PB continues to roll until it hits 365+ million.
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Nov 26, 2006, 8:21 pm

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$18,400,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$31,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$36,000,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$74,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	88.02%
  Megamillions Rolls	90.90%
  Both Roll	80.01%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	8.01%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	10.89%
  Both won.	1.09%
  Either, but not both, won	18.90%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	46.02%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	17.52%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	5.68%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	66.05%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	27.39%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	7.96%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	86.81%
  Either exceeds 300M	13.64%
  Both exceed 300M	0.45%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.436
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.284
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Nov 30, 2006, 8:44 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$23,900,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$40,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$7,300,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$15,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	90.40%
  Megamillions Rolls	89.94%
  Both Roll	81.31%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	9.10%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	8.63%
  Both won.	0.97%
  Either, but not both, won	17.73%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	50.46%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	19.22%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	6.23%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	35.32%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	14.66%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	4.26%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	89.77%
  Either exceeds 300M	10.49%
  Both exceed 300M	0.27%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.246
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.314
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 3, 2006, 10:21 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$7,100,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$12,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$9,800,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$20,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	90.68%
  Megamillions Rolls	91.72%
  Both Roll	83.17%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	7.51%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	8.55%
  Both won.	0.77%
  Either, but not both, won	16.06%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	37.15%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	14.15%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	4.59%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	38.48%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	15.97%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	4.64%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	90.98%
  Either exceeds 300M	9.23%
  Both exceed 300M	0.21%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.263
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.221
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 7, 2006, 9:11 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$9,000,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$15,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$12,300,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$25,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	90.24%
  Megamillions Rolls	91.87%
  Both Roll	82.91%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	7.33%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	8.96%
  Both won.	0.79%
  Either, but not both, won	16.30%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	39.58%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	15.08%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	4.89%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	42.25%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	17.53%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	5.09%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	90.27%
  Either exceeds 300M	9.98%
  Both exceed 300M	0.25%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.279
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.232
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 11, 2006, 9:48 pm

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$13,100,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$22,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$16,000,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$33,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	90.01%
  Megamillions Rolls	91.33%
  Both Roll	82.20%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	7.80%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	9.12%
  Both won.	0.87%
  Either, but not both, won	16.93%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	42.50%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	16.19%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	5.25%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	46.71%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	19.38%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	5.63%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	89.42%
  Either exceeds 300M	10.88%
  Both exceed 300M	0.30%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.304
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.255
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 14, 2006, 9:31 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$17,900,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$30,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$21,200,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$43,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	90.06%
  Megamillions Rolls	90.94%
  Both Roll	81.90%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	8.16%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	9.04%
  Both won.	0.90%
  Either, but not both, won	17.20%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	46.09%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	17.56%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	5.69%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	52.05%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	21.60%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	6.27%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	88.39%
  Either exceeds 300M	11.97%
  Both exceed 300M	0.36%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.338
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.281
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 17, 2006, 8:11 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$23,900,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$40,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$25,900,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$53,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	89.68%
  Megamillions Rolls	89.97%
  Both Roll	80.69%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	8.99%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	9.28%
  Both won.	1.03%
  Either, but not both, won	18.27%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	50.51%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	19.24%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	6.24%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	58.43%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	24.24%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	7.04%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	87.16%
  Either exceeds 300M	13.28%
  Both exceed 300M	0.44%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.370
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.314
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 21, 2006, 6:38 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$29,700,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$50,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$31,600,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$65,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	88.93%
  Megamillions Rolls	89.60%
  Both Roll	79.68%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	9.25%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	9.92%
  Both won.	1.15%
  Either, but not both, won	19.17%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	56.07%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	21.37%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	6.93%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	66.09%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	27.42%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	7.97%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	85.66%
  Either exceeds 300M	14.89%
  Both exceed 300M	0.55%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.407
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.346
• Just6ntlc

  United States
  Member #16,611
  June 2, 2005
  3,493 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 24, 2006, 12:22 am

  ▲▼

  Prob988, both MM and PB jackpots have rolled this draw.
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 24, 2006, 12:42 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$35,600,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$60,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$36,300,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$75,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	88.11%
  Megamillions Rolls	88.45%
  Both Roll	77.93%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	10.18%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	10.52%
  Both won.	1.37%
  Either, but not both, won	20.69%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	63.10%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	24.05%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	7.80%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	75.30%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	31.25%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	9.08%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	83.84%
  Either exceeds 300M	16.87%
  Both exceed 300M	0.71%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.438
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.378
• Just6ntlc

  United States
  Member #16,611
  June 2, 2005
  3,493 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 28, 2006, 12:18 am

  ▲▼

  Based on the analysis, both MM and PB jackpots have rolled.
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Dec 28, 2006, 12:59 am

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$42,700,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$72,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$42,800,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$88,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	86.57%
  Megamillions Rolls	87.68%
  Both Roll	75.90%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	10.66%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	11.78%
  Both won.	1.65%
  Either, but not both, won	22.44%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	72.20%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	27.53%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	8.93%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	86.46%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	35.90%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	10.43%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	81.58%
  Either exceeds 300M	19.35%
  Both exceed 300M	0.93%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.480
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.417
• Prob988

  

  New Jersey
  United States
  Member #21,205
  September 4, 2005
  963 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 1, 2007, 10:43 pm

  ▲▼

  Prize Values
  MegaMillions Cash Value	$49,000,000
  MegaMillions Annuity Value	$84,000,000
  Powerball Cash Value	$47,700,000
  Powerball Annuity Value	$100,000,000
  Type of Outcome	Probability
  Powerball Rolls.	86.08%
  Megamillions Rolls	86.18%
  Both Roll	74.18%
  Powerball Rolls, MM won	11.90%
  MM Rolls, Powerball won.	12.00%
  Both won.	1.92%
  Either, but not both, won	23.90%
  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
  MM exceeds 100M annuity	84.09%
  MM exceeds 200M annuity	32.06%
  MM exceeds 300M annuity	10.40%
  PB exceeds 100M annuity	100.00%
  PB exceeds 200M annuity	41.52%
  PB exceeds 300M annuity	12.06%
  Neither exceeds 300M annuity	78.80%
  Either exceeds 300M	22.46%
  Both exceed 300M	1.25%
  Expectation Value Type	Value
  Pretax Powerball cash basis	0.511
  Pretax Megamillions cash basis	0.450
• Just6ntlc

  United States
  Member #16,611
  June 2, 2005
  3,493 Posts
  Offline
  Jan 4, 2007, 1:27 am

  ▲▼

  Prob988, both MM and PB both rolled in the last draw.