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The odds of both neither, just one.

Topic closed. 148 replies. Last post 10 years ago by Prob988.

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Thread Starter
New Jersey
United States
Member #21206
September 4, 2005
952 Posts
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Posted: January 4, 2007, 9:12 am - IP Logged
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$59,700,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$102,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$55,200,000
Powerball Annuity Value$115,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.84.66%
Megamillions Rolls83.93%
Both Roll71.05%
Powerball Rolls, MM won13.60%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.12.88%
Both won.2.47%
Either, but not both, won26.48%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
MM exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
MM exceeds 200M annuity38.16%
MM exceeds 300M annuity12.38%
PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
PB exceeds 200M annuity48.39%
PB exceeds 300M annuity14.06%
Neither exceeds 300M annuity75.31%
Either exceeds 300M26.43%
Both exceed 300M1.74%
Expectation Value TypeValue
Pretax Powerball cash basis0.559
Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.507

    United States
    Member #16612
    June 2, 2005
    3493 Posts
    Offline
    Posted: January 7, 2007, 1:25 am - IP Logged

    Prob988, both MM and PB both rolled in the last draw.

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      Thread Starter
      New Jersey
      United States
      Member #21206
      September 4, 2005
      952 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: January 7, 2007, 11:22 pm - IP Logged
      Prize Values
      MegaMillions Cash Value$71,600,000
      MegaMillions Annuity Value$122,000,000
      Powerball Cash Value$63,500,000
      Powerball Annuity Value$131,000,000
      Type of OutcomeProbability
      Powerball Rolls.82.93%
      Megamillions Rolls83.57%
      Both Roll69.31%
      Powerball Rolls, MM won13.63%
      MM Rolls, Powerball won.14.26%
      Both won.2.80%
      Either, but not both, won27.89%
      Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
      MM exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
      MM exceeds 200M annuity46.41%
      MM exceeds 300M annuity15.04%
      PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
      PB exceeds 200M annuity56.74%
      PB exceeds 300M annuity16.48%
      Neither exceeds 300M annuity70.96%
      Either exceeds 300M31.52%
      Both exceed 300M2.48%
      Expectation Value TypeValue
      Pretax Powerball cash basis0.612
      Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.571

        United States
        Member #16612
        June 2, 2005
        3493 Posts
        Offline
        Posted: January 10, 2007, 1:29 pm - IP Logged

        Prob988, we know for sure that MM had a jackpot winner (Texas) in the current draw. I hope PB rolls.

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          Thread Starter
          New Jersey
          United States
          Member #21206
          September 4, 2005
          952 Posts
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          Posted: January 11, 2007, 12:29 am - IP Logged

          I'm enjoying the two big jackpots, MM and PB being out of phase with one another.  I hope PB goes a few more draws in her, to give MM time to get back up a little.

           

           

          Prize Values
          MegaMillions Cash Value$7,000,000
          MegaMillions Annuity Value$12,000,000
          Powerball Cash Value$74,700,000
          Powerball Annuity Value$155,000,000
          Type of OutcomeProbability
          Powerball Rolls.82.93%
          Megamillions Rolls91.76%
          Both Roll76.10%
          Powerball Rolls, MM won6.83%
          MM Rolls, Powerball won.15.66%
          Both won.1.41%
          Either, but not both, won22.49%
          Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
          MM exceeds 100M annuity37.22%
          MM exceeds 200M annuity14.17%
          MM exceeds 300M annuity4.58%
          PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
          PB exceeds 200M annuity67.16%
          PB exceeds 300M annuity19.51%
          Neither exceeds 300M annuity76.80%
          Either exceeds 300M24.09%
          Both exceed 300M0.89%
          Expectation Value TypeValue
          Pretax Powerball cash basis0.682
          Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.221

            United States
            Member #16612
            June 2, 2005
            3493 Posts
            Offline
            Posted: January 14, 2007, 1:58 am - IP Logged

            Prob988, I'm happy that PB continues to roll. I hope PB rolls and reaches between 365 and 390 million. Both MM and PB roll this time.

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              Thread Starter
              New Jersey
              United States
              Member #21206
              September 4, 2005
              952 Posts
              Offline
              Posted: January 14, 2007, 9:52 pm - IP Logged
              Prize Values
              MegaMillions Cash Value$9,300,000
              MegaMillions Annuity Value$16,000,000
              Powerball Cash Value$86,000,000
              Powerball Annuity Value$180,000,000
              Type of OutcomeProbability
              Powerball Rolls.82.93%
              Megamillions Rolls91.89%
              Both Roll76.21%
              Powerball Rolls, MM won6.72%
              MM Rolls, Powerball won.15.68%
              Both won.1.38%
              Either, but not both, won22.41%
              Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
              MM exceeds 100M annuity39.61%
              MM exceeds 200M annuity15.07%
              MM exceeds 300M annuity4.88%
              PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
              PB exceeds 200M annuity80.03%
              PB exceeds 300M annuity23.19%
              Neither exceeds 300M annuity73.07%
              Either exceeds 300M28.06%
              Both exceed 300M1.13%
              Expectation Value TypeValue
              Pretax Powerball cash basis0.754
              Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.234
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                Thread Starter
                New Jersey
                United States
                Member #21206
                September 4, 2005
                952 Posts
                Offline
                Posted: January 19, 2007, 8:10 am - IP Logged
                Prize Values
                MegaMillions Cash Value$14,500,000
                MegaMillions Annuity Value$25,000,000
                Powerball Cash Value$98,300,000
                Powerball Annuity Value$205,000,000
                Type of OutcomeProbability
                Powerball Rolls.82.93%
                Megamillions Rolls91.36%
                Both Roll75.77%
                Powerball Rolls, MM won7.17%
                MM Rolls, Powerball won.15.59%
                Both won.1.47%
                Either, but not both, won22.76%
                Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                MM exceeds 100M annuity42.53%
                MM exceeds 200M annuity16.19%
                MM exceeds 300M annuity5.24%
                PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
                PB exceeds 200M annuity100.00%
                PB exceeds 300M annuity28.97%
                Neither exceeds 300M annuity67.31%
                Either exceeds 300M34.21%
                Both exceed 300M1.52%
                Expectation Value TypeValue
                Pretax Powerball cash basis0.826
                Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.263
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                  Thread Starter
                  New Jersey
                  United States
                  Member #21206
                  September 4, 2005
                  952 Posts
                  Offline
                  Posted: January 21, 2007, 8:56 am - IP Logged
                  Prize Values
                  MegaMillions Cash Value$19,200,000
                  MegaMillions Annuity Value$33,000,000
                  Powerball Cash Value$114,000,000
                  Powerball Annuity Value$240,000,000
                  Type of OutcomeProbability
                  Powerball Rolls.82.93%
                  Megamillions Rolls91.36%
                  Both Roll75.77%
                  Powerball Rolls, MM won7.17%
                  MM Rolls, Powerball won.15.59%
                  Both won.1.47%
                  Either, but not both, won22.76%
                  Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                  MM exceeds 100M annuity42.53%
                  MM exceeds 200M annuity16.19%
                  MM exceeds 300M annuity5.24%
                  PB exceeds 100M annuity100.00%
                  PB exceeds 200M annuity100.00%
                  PB exceeds 300M annuity38.88%
                  Neither exceeds 300M annuity57.92%
                  Either exceeds 300M44.12%
                  Both exceed 300M2.04%
                  Expectation Value TypeValue
                  Pretax Powerball cash basis0.913
                  Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.263
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                    Thread Starter
                    New Jersey
                    United States
                    Member #21206
                    September 4, 2005
                    952 Posts
                    Offline
                    Posted: January 25, 2007, 4:26 pm - IP Logged
                    Prize Values
                    MegaMillions Cash Value$25,000,000
                    MegaMillions Annuity Value$43,000,000
                    Powerball Cash Value$7,100,000
                    Powerball Annuity Value$15,000,000
                    Type of OutcomeProbability
                    Powerball Rolls.90.41%
                    Megamillions Rolls90.05%
                    Both Roll81.42%
                    Powerball Rolls, MM won9.00%
                    MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.63%
                    Both won.0.95%
                    Either, but not both, won17.63%
                    Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                    MM exceeds 100M annuity50.52%
                    MM exceeds 200M annuity19.23%
                    MM exceeds 300M annuity6.22%
                    PB exceeds 100M annuity35.37%
                    PB exceeds 200M annuity14.54%
                    PB exceeds 300M annuity4.11%
                    Neither exceeds 300M annuity89.92%
                    Either exceeds 300M10.34%
                    Both exceed 300M0.26%
                    Expectation Value TypeValue
                    Pretax Powerball cash basis0.244
                    Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.320
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                      Thread Starter
                      New Jersey
                      United States
                      Member #21206
                      September 4, 2005
                      952 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: January 29, 2007, 10:58 am - IP Logged
                      Prize Values
                      MegaMillions Cash Value$31,100,000
                      MegaMillions Annuity Value$54,000,000
                      Powerball Cash Value$7,100,000
                      Powerball Annuity Value$15,000,000
                      Type of OutcomeProbability
                      Powerball Rolls.90.34%
                      Megamillions Rolls89.57%
                      Both Roll80.92%
                      Powerball Rolls, MM won9.42%
                      MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.65%
                      Both won.1.01%
                      Either, but not both, won18.07%
                      Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                      MM exceeds 100M annuity56.06%
                      MM exceeds 200M annuity21.34%
                      MM exceeds 300M annuity6.90%
                      PB exceeds 100M annuity35.33%
                      PB exceeds 200M annuity14.53%
                      PB exceeds 300M annuity4.11%
                      Neither exceeds 300M annuity89.27%
                      Either exceeds 300M11.02%
                      Both exceed 300M0.28%
                      Expectation Value TypeValue
                      Pretax Powerball cash basis0.244
                      Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.354
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                        Greenwich, CT
                        United States
                        Member #4793
                        May 24, 2004
                        1822 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: January 29, 2007, 11:03 am - IP Logged

                        Great posts, Prob988.

                        Thanks for the comparisons and calculations!

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                          Thread Starter
                          New Jersey
                          United States
                          Member #21206
                          September 4, 2005
                          952 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: February 1, 2007, 11:11 pm - IP Logged

                          Great posts, Prob988.

                          Thanks for the comparisons and calculations!

                          You're very welcome.  Thanks for appreciating it.

                          Here's the latest on the current runs:

                           

                          Prize Values
                          MegaMillions Cash Value$37,500,000
                          MegaMillions Annuity Value$65,000,000
                          Powerball Cash Value$9,300,000
                          Powerball Annuity Value$20,000,000
                          Type of OutcomeProbability
                          Powerball Rolls.90.37%
                          Megamillions Rolls88.67%
                          Both Roll80.13%
                          Powerball Rolls, MM won10.24%
                          MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.54%
                          Both won.1.09%
                          Either, but not both, won18.78%
                          Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                          MM exceeds 100M annuity63.10%
                          MM exceeds 200M annuity24.02%
                          MM exceeds 300M annuity7.77%
                          PB exceeds 100M annuity38.49%
                          PB exceeds 200M annuity15.82%
                          PB exceeds 300M annuity4.48%
                          Neither exceeds 300M annuity88.10%
                          Either exceeds 300M12.25%
                          Both exceed 300M0.35%
                          Expectation Value TypeValue
                          Pretax Powerball cash basis0.244
                          Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.389
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                            Thread Starter
                            New Jersey
                            United States
                            Member #21206
                            September 4, 2005
                            952 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: February 4, 2007, 8:10 am - IP Logged
                            Prize Values
                            MegaMillions Cash Value$44,700,000
                            MegaMillions Annuity Value$77,000,000
                            Powerball Cash Value$12,600,000
                            Powerball Annuity Value$27,000,000
                            Type of OutcomeProbability
                            Powerball Rolls.90.24%
                            Megamillions Rolls87.67%
                            Both Roll79.11%
                            Powerball Rolls, MM won11.13%
                            MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.56%
                            Both won.1.20%
                            Either, but not both, won19.69%
                            Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                            MM exceeds 100M annuity72.16%
                            MM exceeds 200M annuity27.47%
                            MM exceeds 300M annuity8.89%
                            PB exceeds 100M annuity42.22%
                            PB exceeds 200M annuity17.36%
                            PB exceeds 300M annuity4.91%
                            Neither exceeds 300M annuity86.63%
                            Either exceeds 300M13.80%
                            Both exceed 300M0.44%
                            Expectation Value TypeValue
                            Pretax Powerball cash basis0.281
                            Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.428
                              Avatar
                              Thread Starter
                              New Jersey
                              United States
                              Member #21206
                              September 4, 2005
                              952 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: February 9, 2007, 1:25 am - IP Logged
                              Prize Values
                              MegaMillions Cash Value$52,800,000
                              MegaMillions Annuity Value$91,000,000
                              Powerball Cash Value$17,500,000
                              Powerball Annuity Value$37,000,000
                              Type of OutcomeProbability
                              Powerball Rolls.90.06%
                              Megamillions Rolls86.43%
                              Both Roll77.84%
                              Powerball Rolls, MM won12.22%
                              MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.59%
                              Both won.1.35%
                              Either, but not both, won20.81%
                              Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
                              MM exceeds 100M annuity84.07%
                              MM exceeds 200M annuity32.01%
                              MM exceeds 300M annuity10.36%
                              PB exceeds 100M annuity46.68%
                              PB exceeds 200M annuity19.19%
                              PB exceeds 300M annuity5.43%
                              Neither exceeds 300M annuity84.77%
                              Either exceeds 300M15.79%
                              Both exceed 300M0.56%
                              Expectation Value TypeValue
                              Pretax Powerball cash basis0.314
                              Pretax Megamillions cash basis0.472
                                 
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