Quote: Originally posted by RL-RANDOMLOGIC on Jan 6, 2013
Seriously, I can't imagine a world without the "IF" statement. Ronnie316 is using
conditional odds. For example IF he is able to trap the 5 correct numbers in a pool
of 29 numbers he has improved his chances of winning regardless of the odds for
the game.
Are his methods of selection giving him an edge in the game, I could say yes or I could
say no but regardless of what one believes chance plays a role.
The only way to change the odds is to change the matrix of the game, Ronnie316 is
not really doing this because regardless of which numbers he removes the balls are not
removed from the hopper, RNG etc.....
Jimboozoo in the last couple years has stumbled upon statistics and it changed his life
in such a way that he now views himself as an enlightened being. Around 20 years ago
I wrote my first lottery program which was math based. One of very first things I noticed
was that math was limited as far as helping me win.
Some believe they can better there chances of winning and some do not. Is a winning
streak just a chance occurrence or is it something more. It can't be proven one way or
the other regardless of what one believes. Will a winning streak last forever or will it end
the next drawing? Most if not all winning methods are based on short term patterns that
render back testing useless. Find something that can be defined within the randomness
of the draw and make a few calculations for it's next expected show and wait until it's in
a prime position to show and then jump in, kind of like card counting.
Anyone interested in trying to predict something like the next lottery number set should
do a little study into random sampling and CLT "central limit theorem." Forget the balls
bouncing around inside a hopper and view the draw as an assortment of biased variables.
Find a bias for one variable and you have a starting point then keep adding more and more
as you find them.
The surest way to loose is to play every game.
RL