hypersoniq's Blog

called 12 as PB, 12 came up... white balls not so good however.

I'll take it, bout time LRS got me some coin on powerball

testing the pick3 and cash5 and match 6, I saved bux dropping them for sure.

This win basically pays for my september pick3 LRS test! Those numbers will be posted to my blog (for the whole month of september, all at once) on aug 31. I will be continuing then, my experiment of posting the september LRS picks for "all states" to boost my prediction stats. Apparently the numbers work better in Illinois, Iowa and South Carolina than they do in PA.

IF september works in all states, I might look into getting an online acct... can you still get them? is Betslips still the best place?

WATCH my pick for tonight (and midday) in all states... 1-6-6, this is SUPPOSED to be for PA pick3 eve only, but you never know...

too bad it was for "All States" pick 3

I posted my LRS PA eve pick for all states.

gonna try a big test of that in september, posting my LRS picks for all states.

maybe I should have gotten an online account... we will see at the end of september, cool to have made it on 2 of the "top predictors" lists tho (lifetime and 30 day prize ratios)

Shifted from the "long range" to "short range" tie arbitration

it changed my PB red ball pick...

after exhaustive testing, the New Matrix data with LRS produced more "hits" than using the full range, so I can finally archive the full range version to the thumb drive.

new arbitration rule also changed the Match6 data, but the Cash5 and PA Pick3 eve. data remaqined the same.

I will be posting pick3 numbers here on the blog for the entire month of september on day of august (A friday night). Unless lady luck looks my way, I will NOT be actually playing them, but you never know... I think I might throw the LRS pick for tonight into the all-states mix just to see what happens.

for PA it's supposed to be 2-3-1 tonight...

I might try an interesting experiment by posting the LRS pick each day for all 50 states... just to see what happens to my dismal prediction stats...

BTW just informed by Todd that I hit "Veteran" status as a poster... Cool!

PB database is finished, next step is to create a sheet similar to the old PRO-File sheet that I got sick of updating...

that's it for now...

Going to "backtest" profile by making it a database in Access, then I can gather info by date-range and see if the stats available at the time before the next to the last draw indicated the winning number in any way... that will allow fine-tuning nad help point to the important metrics...

hopefully.

wonder if I can recall how to spit query outputs to an excel sheet for analysis...

experimenting with automation worked... still no backtesting, would probably need a VB routine or database for that.

The basic idea is to look at the numbers drawn last night (example 3-2-6) and the numbers drawn tonight (example 4-7-8). this yields the positional vertical pairs

P1 = 34

P2 = 27

P3 = 68

I created a chart that fills itself in when you add draws (using excel, also works in open office). the first row contains 00 thru 99, the columns are from 0-9 for each position... so, you would look in the first position in the row for "34" to see the highest count of the followers 0-9.

still devising a backtest, but it does yield an interesting chart AND was a great exercise in formula creation with creative cell-referencing.

more on this if I can develop a backtest...

PREDICTION: A statement foretelling the possible outcome(s) of an event, process, or experiment, based on observations, experience, and scientific reasoning.

GUESS: A statement foretelling the possible outcome(s) of an event, process, or experiment based on conjecture and intuition.

simple  enough

there are 3 systems I am paper-playing for tonight...

1 is the venerable LRS, my only winning system to date (and it only madememoney once)

2 is the newly added "Matrix" system

3 is a re-formulated vertical pair system

If I actually play one it will be #1, but here they go

(LRS) 2-3-9

(matrix) 3-4-0

(VP) 4-8-7

I am taking august "off" from all but the powerball, but whichever gets closest may be slated for a september test. IF it is the LRS that wins the little contest, then i will post the whole chart here august 31st. Time for an OPEN test.

gonna throw these in predictions for tonight (if it's working... cleared my cache...)

harsh on the win column so far... LRS only got1 hit in pick3, droppedit but still update it and it will likely be the only hit LRS gets this year.

Revisited my vertical pair concept from days gone by for pick 3... no way to backtest still, so no plans on moving it forward, it was moreof a coding exercise to streamline the formulas and speed uprecalcs... that part worked.

powerball flatlined for me since that p3 hit... not even a 0+1 in MONTHS...

gotta find a new road to travel for that red ball, what I got ain't cutting it.

NOT the first time it hashappened... the red balls are poised for a 5-ball palindrome

last 4red balls in order ... 26-35-20-35-?

I'm playing 26 tonight!

my system calls for a 02 to come up, so I will break protocol and play a second ticket tonight (Qp the white balls and add a 26 as the RB)

I think this could be the first one of the new matrix, the old matrix had at least 2 and a few close calls.

If anyone recalls the old matrix, a few years back I noticed that 20 follows 35 and 35 follows 20, but usually with 5 to 11 draws between them, this was a first I believe.... that they were back-to-back-to-back!

this may be nothing, but I am hoping it is something!

playing that pick 3 "matrix" lookup table excel sheet is an interesting pasttime, but I need to optimize and automate this endeavour.

the first time i used it for 1-1-1 replacement I managed a backtest of 20 hits on +1,+5,+0

then I tweaked the numbers and ended up with 55 hits.

I used the system to gather follower data (what number follows each number in each position the most) this only produced 19 backtest hits.

tweaking those numbers and it's up to 59 hits... I can't break the 60 hit "barrier".

the basis of the system is using last night's draw, then replacing the numbers with the numbers on the lookup table... changing the table numbers affects the backtest. allows you to "dial-in" more hits, but like I thought, the most frequent numbers do NOT come out together.

I need to figure out a VB program to try many different scenarios, but I can't get a clear picture of the logic required...

I need to figure this out before attempting the same thing with powerball...

59 hits averages 2 hits a year, the system would have paid for itself AND brought in $19,000 profit...BUT it would have taken 26 years and missed 5 years... 2 in a row

based on backtest results, it may miss this year so I am not playing it, but I AM tracking it... could be interesting to try with powerball if I get the infernal logic figured out.

BEFORE THE WIN 

1.) Create personal property trustS (note the plural). The reason there are two is that I will claim the prize myself, but as a trustee. the name will imply multiple winners, but that won't be the case ;-) The SECOND trust is to transfer ALL of the assets into after the electronic transfer goes thru and I have access to the money... WHY? asset protection, the second trust name will NOT be publicised, therefore no frivelous lawsuits against it.

I am in the process of getting those ready NOW with my trust-authoring software... they will be ready to notarize in the event of a win, NO attorney required!

2.) print out the map to lottery hq for an easy trip in what I am guessing will be a frenzied state of mind. (DONE)

AFTER THE WIN

1.) Sign the ticket with my name AND the first trust's name, my bank already handles CDARS, so I just need to get their electronic transfer number before claiming the ticket and up to 30,000,000 will be insured in a CDARS account.

2.) Scan front and back, original goes in the safety deposit box until the first business day I can make the trip.

3.) DECLINE PRESS CONFERENCE!!! DECLINE PHOTOS!!! Name will still be released, but I have half a chance this way of my clean escape from Pennsylvania!

4.) Take the CASH OPTION so I can take advantage of PA's NO TAX benefit on the lump sum. 

5.) Settle all debt ASAP, no strings left to tie us to this state.

6.) Identify a CDARS bank where we will move (Done), transfer funds there next time we go for vacation (scheduled for june '08... sooner with a win)

7.) BLACK OPS move... no forwarding phone/address/cell phones/anything.

8.) Open my own business (already know what, but I will have the startup funds!)

9.) keep bulk of the money in the trust (second one) to protect the balance. Diversify a portfolio with a large chunk of it.... gotta keep an INCOME stream open...

10.) Pay for the new home IN FULL immediately, earmark a portion of the winnings to sustain that lifestyle for 10 years (calculate inflation and include personal funds... gotta pay yourself too!)... this means no mansion, but who cares... My dream home has no minimum square footage and will be as close to the beach as We can afford within the planned budget.

11.) Cruise the LP on the Wi-Fi alienware laptop poolside while watching the waves roll in!

miss anything? got a plan of your own?

...with NO picture on the box!

still trying to figure out what to do next...

maybe look at what I have done over the last few years and see what can be put together...???

take some old stats and use them to guide the "matrix" game...

more with deltas and "positive change"...

LRS and RNG together for pick3 mid?

who knows...

anyway

happy July4th fellow Americans, and have a great day wherever you happen to be from!

Was toying around with the "Positive Change" thing... best I could find was 20 hits in 10,400+ draws. BUT I used a lookup table rather than a formula... Started running each position thru it's paces and found I was able to tweak the wins to 55! that's major profit over 27 years with only 5 years missed (including 2007 so far).

I think 55 is all i will find... but I would like to try this for other games... replace numbers while looking at the results... some numbers are cut altogether and some numbers are doubled up... system has not been hit since jan. of 2006... so it's "waiting year" is up and it's DUE.

no advanced forecasting on this one since it works with the last draw only...

I will be saving money this month... only playing cash5 when it gets to 200,000 so that will save at least 15 bucks for july. Also dropping the match6 until it rolls to 5 million (then I won't play it 'till at least october if it ain't hit)

I still need to update the c5 sheets and check the website to see the next jackpot to make the go/no-go decision.

powerball remains unchanged... one ticket per draw with the power play... but I will be trying that lookup trick with the red ball to see if it's feasible

Also picked up a sweet deal on a program called "Perfect Attorney"(Platinum edition) which has tutorials and form generation so I can whip up a trust document and be ready should lightning strike.

I have decided to claim it myself if I win, but also use a trust as a protection device. I will take my 15 minutes of fame to advertise the skatepark i will build... can't BUY that kind of publicity! and the trust will prevent me getting sued running the skatepark (AND keep it safe from any type of lawsuit my wife may encounter as an R.N.)

I finally figured out the last piece of the puzzle... now it's time to win!

$66 to play... $1 won to date (Cash5)

Not planning a July test since I'm back on my own playing money again.

LRS is ok, only one that won me money so far. Will stick with LRS and the current matrix for powerball, but that's it for the other PA games for me for awhile.

One last cash5 ticket for tonight, will need a 4/5 to make july a success... not counting on it.

Powerball has been a big goose egg for all the tests this year so far... if it wasn't for the big money (even after it's hit), I would drop that one FIRST.

I will still be tweaking the other systems for paper play (mostly the pick3) but pick3/4 lost last month and were axed... Match6 went bust and will be cut for july and the cash 5 has one last chance to save itself @ 7pm tonight.

otherwise I am back to just PB... one ticket per draw with the powerplay.

other than LRS and the 1-1-1 system I am tweaking and trying to automate, I am out of ideas for the moment.

As always, the easiest way to start out atheory is against pick 3 data.

I had previously worked with the "1-1-1" system. I had performed operations in excel that subtracted 10 and used absolute values of negative numbers... too complex!

I have redone a "proof of concept" worksheet and have decided to adopt a rolling lookup table. there ARE no negative numbers OR numbers over 9.

problem is it has to be manually changed, there are 1,000 possibilities! I got thru several dozen so far and realize this will have to be automated.

so since nothing is subtracted and just rolls forward, the name "positive change" comes into play (well, the positive part...)

The change part is the new "all positive" delta. using a rolling lookup instead of formulas that manipulate numbers has one major benefit... lightning fast re-calculations!

I need to figure out how to do this in VB! Guess I should search for character replacement algorithms...

watch the pa pick3 tonight... if 6-2-8 is the evening pick3 number, then this is another lucky coincidental system!