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Can math and logic improve chances of winning a jackpot?

Topic closed. 557 replies. Last post 3 years ago by sflottolover.

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United States
Member #116268
September 7, 2011
20244 Posts
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Posted: June 27, 2013, 4:08 pm - IP Logged

I think he dresses up at home....

    psykomo's avatar - animal shark.jpg

    United States
    Member #4877
    May 30, 2004
    5124 Posts
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    Posted: June 27, 2013, 8:20 pm - IP Logged

    I Agree! with RL. And don't forget about the dangers of driving your car down the street..... I suppose Jammy would think its a"waste of time" making attempts to drive safely because after all, the "odds" of crashing are quite high so crashing is just a matter of random chance and there's nothing you can change about that?

    RM316: (moter)

    Keep UR motor runn'G>>>>>>>>>& don't forget bout Jammy

    down D street>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>???????????????????????

    We need ah SMART car>>>>>>>"JACKPOT"$$$$$$$$$$!

        PartyDancePartyScaredDrumScaredPartyDanceParty


      United States
      Member #116268
      September 7, 2011
      20244 Posts
      Offline
      Posted: June 27, 2013, 8:38 pm - IP Logged

      RM316: (moter)

      Keep UR motor runn'G>>>>>>>>>& don't forget bout Jammy

      down D street>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>???????????????????????

      We need ah SMART car>>>>>>>"JACKPOT"$$$$$$$$$$!

          PartyDancePartyScaredDrumScaredPartyDanceParty

      D Jammy smart car wil D liver D pAY dIRT jACKPOT....

              wE R D wINNER$$$$


        United States
        Member #116268
        September 7, 2011
        20244 Posts
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        Posted: June 27, 2013, 8:49 pm - IP Logged

        As I said earlier,

        "If you people knew how pathetic you appear when you conduct yourselves in this way when faced with evidence you cannot refute, you would be embarrassed, and quiet.

        "But you obviously don't know."

        --Jimmy4164

        P.S. RL:  Check with BobP (Lotto-Logix) regarding your Pick-3 software.

        Jammy can you give us your home address or website or something? We want to help you but we need for you to come outside of your shell... http://www.amazon.com/The-Crack-Cosmic-Egg-Constructs

          Avatar
          Kentucky
          United States
          Member #32652
          February 14, 2006
          7325 Posts
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          Posted: June 27, 2013, 9:31 pm - IP Logged

          You just replied to yourself Jammy. Are you off your meds? What do you do on Halloween night?

          "What do you do on Halloween night?"

          He lectures the kids dressed like witches, Spider-man, or Superman about the aerodynamics of flying. And instead of candy, he hands out cards with links to boring websites.

            psykomo's avatar - animal shark.jpg

            United States
            Member #4877
            May 30, 2004
            5124 Posts
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            Posted: June 27, 2013, 10:58 pm - IP Logged

            "What do you do on Halloween night?"

            He lectures the kids dressed like witches, Spider-man, or Superman about the aerodynamics of flying. And instead of candy, he hands out cards with links to boring websites.

            stack:

            give UR>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>JACKPOT>>>>######### ah>>>>>>CHANCE>>>$$$$$!!

            22222222222222222222>>>>>>>>>>WIN>>JACKPOT>>>>########>ah>>>>>>CHANCE>>>2013!!!!

                          lets GO BACK with Mel Fisher>>WIN>GOLDPOT>>>>########>ah ah ah ah ah ah >>>2013!!!!

            THANK>>>U>>>>>>>>>Todd>Lottery Post>>WIN>GOLDPOT>>>>>>$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$>>>>2013!!!!!

            Thank U4>>>Lottery Post>>>>>>$$$$$$$$$$$$>>>>$

            Psyko has a solution>>LP>>>>>>>buy a "SMART" carLovies$

            and U will get moe bang 4UR>>>>bucks "SMART" carNoel$

                                   BedJack-in-the-BoxBed


              United States
              Member #93947
              July 10, 2010
              2180 Posts
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              Posted: June 28, 2013, 12:42 am - IP Logged

              @ Jambo

              When you say ludic fallacies, are you sure you dont mean

              Phallic lewdities?

              (I hope you all had enough time to tend to the nerve I apparently disturbed.)

              LottoBoner asks, "When you say ludic fallacies, are you sure you dont mean Phallic lewdities?"

              No, they really are called Ludic Fallacies.  Jim Firestone summed them up quite nicely:

              http://kmci.org/alllifeisproblemsolving/archives/notes-for-black-swan-ideas-lottery-ticket-and-ludic-fallacies-mandelbrodtian-randomness-gray-swans-and-the-narrative-fallacy/

              "The Ludic Fallacy. This is the idea of associating chance, randomness, and uncertainty in the real world with games of chance and the mathematical models that govern our expectations about them. According to Nassim Nicholas Taleb(NNT,) gambling is 'sterilized and domesticated uncertainty.' It is uncertainty in which you know both the rules generating uncertainty and the sources of uncertainty. 'In real life you do not know the odds; you need to discover them, and the sources of uncertainty are not defined.' So, according to NNT, mathematizations based on games of chance such as Gaussian Models cannot be applied to the real world of social events and processes, without committing an error. Such models simply don’t work in reality and we risk costly errors if we assume that they can, and apply them in action. NNT illustrates the Ludic fallacy by discussing the risk management efforts of a Las Vegas casino.  The casino used sophisticated models and computer systems to protect itself from occasional very lucky people and also from 'cheaters.' But it failed to anticipate four key Black Swan events having nothing to do with its models that cost it dearly. In sum, its off-model Black Swans swamped its 'on-model risks by a factor of close to 1,000 to 1.'"

              Do you think you've ever fallen into the mind trap of this fallacy?

              --Jimmy4164

              P.S.  RL:  Have you checked in yet with BobP regarding your Pick-3 software?

                RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

                United States
                Member #59354
                March 13, 2008
                3986 Posts
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                Posted: June 28, 2013, 7:10 am - IP Logged

                Jimmy

                Who is BobP

                RL

                Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

                I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

                they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

                USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

                  US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  


                  United States
                  Member #93947
                  July 10, 2010
                  2180 Posts
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                  Posted: June 28, 2013, 9:07 am - IP Logged

                  "Who is BobP"

                  http://www.lotterypost.com/thread/262399/3114647

                  BTW, that's Perkis, not Perkins.

                  But then, you probably won't be interested since you have no intention of selling your programs.

                    RL-RANDOMLOGIC's avatar - usafce

                    United States
                    Member #59354
                    March 13, 2008
                    3986 Posts
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                    Posted: June 28, 2013, 10:29 am - IP Logged

                    Jimmy

                    I normally don't read post except those made by friends or my own but I will check it out.  All the software

                    that I have released was built for my personal use that I decided to share with others.  If at some point

                    I do come up with a lottery software that I feel has commercial value I will consult you first, however don't

                    hold your breath. 

                     

                    On a more serious note have you seen the new pop-up adds when visiting websites promoting "Become

                    your own bank" asking people to investing in, of all things "mortgage notes."   I guess the foreign investors

                    are drying up. Something is up so watch your investments over the next few months to a year.

                     

                    Bad moon rising 

                    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4YlTUDnsWMo

                    Working on my Ph.D.  "University of hard Knocks"

                    I will consider the opinion that my winnings are a product of chance if you are willing to consider

                    they are not.  Many great discoveries come while searching for something else

                    USAF https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prime_Base_Engineer_Emergency_Force

                      US Flag Trump / 2016 & 2020  


                      United States
                      Member #116268
                      September 7, 2011
                      20244 Posts
                      Offline
                      Posted: June 28, 2013, 10:46 am - IP Logged

                      (I hope you all had enough time to tend to the nerve I apparently disturbed.)

                      LottoBoner asks, "When you say ludic fallacies, are you sure you dont mean Phallic lewdities?"

                      No, they really are called Ludic Fallacies.  Jim Firestone summed them up quite nicely:

                      http://kmci.org/alllifeisproblemsolving/archives/notes-for-black-swan-ideas-lottery-ticket-and-ludic-fallacies-mandelbrodtian-randomness-gray-swans-and-the-narrative-fallacy/

                      "The Ludic Fallacy. This is the idea of associating chance, randomness, and uncertainty in the real world with games of chance and the mathematical models that govern our expectations about them. According to Nassim Nicholas Taleb(NNT,) gambling is 'sterilized and domesticated uncertainty.' It is uncertainty in which you know both the rules generating uncertainty and the sources of uncertainty. 'In real life you do not know the odds; you need to discover them, and the sources of uncertainty are not defined.' So, according to NNT, mathematizations based on games of chance such as Gaussian Models cannot be applied to the real world of social events and processes, without committing an error. Such models simply don’t work in reality and we risk costly errors if we assume that they can, and apply them in action. NNT illustrates the Ludic fallacy by discussing the risk management efforts of a Las Vegas casino.  The casino used sophisticated models and computer systems to protect itself from occasional very lucky people and also from 'cheaters.' But it failed to anticipate four key Black Swan events having nothing to do with its models that cost it dearly. In sum, its off-model Black Swans swamped its 'on-model risks by a factor of close to 1,000 to 1.'"

                      Do you think you've ever fallen into the mind trap of this fallacy?

                      --Jimmy4164

                      P.S.  RL:  Have you checked in yet with BobP regarding your Pick-3 software?

                      Not so Jammy, in fact I'm happy to understand da lucid fallicy and had a very nice one testerday in preparation for buy a pile of lottery tickets that cost $45. Thank for leading my to the promised land.


                        United States
                        Member #116268
                        September 7, 2011
                        20244 Posts
                        Offline
                        Posted: June 28, 2013, 11:05 am - IP Logged

                        Whenever I have a real vivid lucid fallacy it reminds me of live Hendrix and LSD. 

                        http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gjMuKP1GpLY


                          United States
                          Member #116268
                          September 7, 2011
                          20244 Posts
                          Offline
                          Posted: June 28, 2013, 12:33 pm - IP Logged

                          (I hope you all had enough time to tend to the nerve I apparently disturbed.)

                          LottoBoner asks, "When you say ludic fallacies, are you sure you dont mean Phallic lewdities?"

                          No, they really are called Ludic Fallacies.  Jim Firestone summed them up quite nicely:

                          http://kmci.org/alllifeisproblemsolving/archives/notes-for-black-swan-ideas-lottery-ticket-and-ludic-fallacies-mandelbrodtian-randomness-gray-swans-and-the-narrative-fallacy/

                          "The Ludic Fallacy. This is the idea of associating chance, randomness, and uncertainty in the real world with games of chance and the mathematical models that govern our expectations about them. According to Nassim Nicholas Taleb(NNT,) gambling is 'sterilized and domesticated uncertainty.' It is uncertainty in which you know both the rules generating uncertainty and the sources of uncertainty. 'In real life you do not know the odds; you need to discover them, and the sources of uncertainty are not defined.' So, according to NNT, mathematizations based on games of chance such as Gaussian Models cannot be applied to the real world of social events and processes, without committing an error. Such models simply don’t work in reality and we risk costly errors if we assume that they can, and apply them in action. NNT illustrates the Ludic fallacy by discussing the risk management efforts of a Las Vegas casino.  The casino used sophisticated models and computer systems to protect itself from occasional very lucky people and also from 'cheaters.' But it failed to anticipate four key Black Swan events having nothing to do with its models that cost it dearly. In sum, its off-model Black Swans swamped its 'on-model risks by a factor of close to 1,000 to 1.'"

                          Do you think you've ever fallen into the mind trap of this fallacy?

                          --Jimmy4164

                          P.S.  RL:  Have you checked in yet with BobP regarding your Pick-3 software?

                          I have a suggestion for your Avatar Jammy.......


                            United States
                            Member #116268
                            September 7, 2011
                            20244 Posts
                            Offline
                            Posted: June 28, 2013, 12:36 pm - IP Logged


                              United States
                              Member #116268
                              September 7, 2011
                              20244 Posts
                              Offline
                              Posted: June 28, 2013, 12:46 pm - IP Logged

                              I play favorite numbers too Jammy, how does this fit into your false assumption about my lucid fallacy?

                              Wheel:  Pick 5 Key 4 if 4 of 10

                              Tickets:  25

                              Description:  Minimum 4-number match, if 4 numbers drawn fall within your set of 10 numbers.

                              Input:  3, 51, 10, 48, 9, 47, 17, 38, 28, 36

                              1. 03-10-38-48-51
                              2. 03-09-10-38-51
                              3. 03-10-36-47-51
                              4. 03-10-17-28-51
                              5. 03-09-47-48-51
                              6. 03-17-36-48-51
                              7. 03-28-36-48-51
                              8. 03-09-28-47-51
                              9. 03-09-17-36-51
                              10. 03-17-38-47-51
                              11. 03-28-36-38-51
                              12. 03-09-10-36-48
                              13. 03-10-17-47-48
                              14. 03-10-28-47-48
                              15. 03-09-10-17-47
                              16. 03-09-10-28-36
                              17. 03-10-28-38-47
                              18. 03-10-17-36-38
                              19. 03-09-17-38-48
                              20. 03-09-17-28-48
                              21. 03-28-38-47-48
                              22. 03-36-38-47-48
                              23. 03-09-36-38-47
                              24. 03-09-17-28-38
                              25. 03-17-28-36-47

                                 
                                Page 13 of 38