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Florida Scratch Offs - Post Pictures if posible

5255 replies. Last post 17 minutes ago by EMTAdam.

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Florida
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Posted: June 20, 2016, 3:01 pm - IP Logged

Ok. I got the latest numbers from FL Lotto on 2 games that I have been interested lately - % of tickets sold:

As of 06/20/16:

0786 - $200M Spectacular - 95.01%
1224 - 50X the Cash - 75.17%

Total number of outstanding prizes (from $10 to $1 million) in 200MS - 317,357 (3.71% of the original prizes)

Total number of outstanding prizes (from $10 to $1 million) in 50X - 224,628 (2.30% of the original prizes)

Can any of experts here come up with any numbers of boxes/probability with above numbers?

Put another way, if that 75.17% sold is correct, then out of 33,120,000 total tickets for the game, 8,223,696  are remaining of which 224,628 are winners. Which means the current odds are 1 in 36.61.

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    June 12, 2016
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    Posted: June 20, 2016, 3:11 pm - IP Logged

    With your logic, for 200 MS game, the current odds are 1 in 21.16....way better than 50X!!!

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      Florida
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      Posted: June 20, 2016, 3:20 pm - IP Logged

      Both of those %sold numbers are off (especially 50X). $200MS is almost gone, gotta be 99%+ sold, and we have the Instant Liability from 6/14 showing 50X above 97% paid. At the volume we're talking about, the paid-out numbers will very closely match the sold numbers. 

       

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        Posted: June 20, 2016, 3:32 pm - IP Logged

        MrGray, How are you so sure about it with 200MS - 99% + sold????

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          Florida
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          Posted: June 20, 2016, 3:52 pm - IP Logged

          MrGray, How are you so sure about it with 200MS - 99% + sold????

          $200MS initially had 30,000,000 tickets. From the last report on 6/13 there were only 65 books (about a third of which were active) left in the whole state. Ignoring the rest of the humans in Florida, several of us have been vacuuming up $200MS when we have a chance, so, even that number is dwindling. At most, there are a few thousand tickets left in the game. 3,000/30,000,000 * 100% = 0.01% left.

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            Posted: June 20, 2016, 4:05 pm - IP Logged

            What is the probability for all or most of winning numbers in Inactive 200MS books?

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              Florida
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              Posted: June 20, 2016, 4:10 pm - IP Logged

              $200MS initially had 30,000,000 tickets. From the last report on 6/13 there were only 65 books (about a third of which were active) left in the whole state. Ignoring the rest of the humans in Florida, several of us have been vacuuming up $200MS when we have a chance, so, even that number is dwindling. At most, there are a few thousand tickets left in the game. 3,000/30,000,000 * 100% = 0.01% left.

              That number has already dwindled. I played through 3 books of $200 MS, and Gator played through 4 books from AK Quik in Gainesville. They had 13 stocked after I played, so 9 remaining (max) after Gator played through some books. I'm not sure how quickly they go through books of that game otherwise, but it is a high traffic store. It wouldn't surprise me if those books were finished within the next two weeks. 

              I know of 1 book in Jacksonville I was going to buy, but I got irritated after I went to the store and the guy pretended to not know how to activate books. He told me to come back later when the manager was there. (Who wants to waste that much gas?) 

              The people at AK Quik seemed confident that they could get more books of $200MS even after their supply diminishes. Not sure how many books of 200MS Spectacular remain, but several people here seem to truly think there's less than 100 out there now. Now hopefully at least 1 jackpot is still out there.

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                Florida
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                Posted: June 20, 2016, 4:13 pm - IP Logged

                Both of those %sold numbers are off (especially 50X). $200MS is almost gone, gotta be 99%+ sold, and we have the Instant Liability from 6/14 showing 50X above 97% paid. At the volume we're talking about, the paid-out numbers will very closely match the sold numbers. 

                 

                I agree. I did the math in a previous post, based on the instant liability reports we've had posted as well as the numbers I received for Escape to Margaritaville (EtM) and KR. Based on all of this, it appears that something in the range of 1.5%-2% of tickets go unclaimed. About 3% of tickets that have prizes based on a single matching number go unclaimed (rough number here). And the percent of prizes claimed in the instant liability report runs around  1.5%-2% under the total currently sold. So to me, the total sold for 50x is something around 99.19% to 99.69% .. with the number being likely closer to the upside. Neither of those numbers are "firm" just rough estimates based on the trends of reports and what not I've seen.

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                  Florida
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                  Posted: June 20, 2016, 4:39 pm - IP Logged

                  Not sure if anyone noticed, but apparently in the last week, 3 $1 million prizes have been claimed in $25 FL Cash.

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                    Cape Coral
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                    Posted: June 20, 2016, 4:39 pm - IP Logged

                    Does anyone know where around lee, charlotte, collier county has 200ms ?

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                      Florida
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                      Posted: June 20, 2016, 4:44 pm - IP Logged

                      Not sure if anyone noticed, but apparently in the last week, 3 $1 million prizes have been claimed in $25 FL Cash.

                      Yep, it looks like another big wave of Florida Cash winners. I wonder how close it is to becoming the next "100x cash" ticket, and reaching the end of it's life. 

                       

                      @ Adam - If you email your lottery rep in your district (contact info found via FL lottery website), you can ask them for locations of that game within certain counties and they'll create a PDF document for you after requesting that info from communications. I asked, and they gave me the information I requested within the same day.

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                        Florida
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                        Posted: June 20, 2016, 5:15 pm - IP Logged

                        Does anyone know where around lee, charlotte, collier county has 200ms ?

                        This was the only one on the list from a week ago in those counties:

                        Discount Tobacco & Beer 0786 / $200 MILLION SP 1 13601 Tamiami Trail, North Port (941) 429-5383

                         

                        For others you'd have to head up to Tampa/Clearwater. And for what it's worth, there were three places on the list in New Port Richey, each of which I visited, and none of them had the tickets. So, it's even drier out there than it seems.

                         

                        If there are any left at AK's in Gainesville next week, I'll probably drive down and clear them out.

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                          Florida
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                          Posted: June 20, 2016, 5:18 pm - IP Logged

                          Also, where's skeptic at? His absence has me thinking we're about to see a Sarasota man claim the last $10M on Florida Cash. :)

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                            Florida
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                            January 5, 2014
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                            Posted: June 20, 2016, 7:01 pm - IP Logged

                            Hi all,  I didn't play tonight but here's an update on Gainesville

                            I went to the Food Mart on SE9st and University Ave. They have quite a lot of games. All except 200MS. I was surprised to see they had $50,000 Gridiron which I haven't seen in stores in well over a year. Are they re-releasing this game because I went to another Kelly Kwik stop location on 34th and saw the same game.

                             

                            Anyway's yes he has a roll going of 50X. It's currently on No 40. I did not want to buy out the roll so I left that for one of you all to claim. He supposedly also has one more in the back to stock when that's gone. Please buy them so I don't waste my money losing on them. j/k

                            I was then going to visit the FoodMax at 1314 University which is the other place that was on the list having an active roll of 50X. Let's just say there was a, um, crowd, loitering outside that place. I'm going to leave that to a braver LP Scratcher.

                            I didn't make it to the other locations to ask about rolls in the back. I will say the SE9 Food Mart has a good collection of tickets. KR was there.

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                              Posted: June 20, 2016, 8:00 pm - IP Logged

                              I have completed 2 books of 200MS in S.Florida. There is only half of a book available here . If I am done with that, there is nothing left (unless 3 or 4 remaining shops activate their books which they denied when I went and asked them) here in South Florida for 200MS. But, there are still 425 bigger prizes left ($1000 or more) that I can see in Instant Liability Report!!! I dont know how far this is correct!!????

                                 
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