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Why Do Mathematicians Consider The Lottery Random

Topic closed. 261 replies. Last post 5 years ago by Boney526.

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Posted: August 24, 2011, 1:29 am - IP Logged

This person plays online. This person plays all the remaining p-4 numbers that haven't hit straight in a certain state. That's about 6,500 combos at 25 cents a piece, then this person plays additional smaller pools that most of the time contain the winning number in most of the 3 or 4 pools, which means this person wins multiple times when this person wins. This person has lost too, no one can win everytime, but the wins obviously have outnumbered the losses. In fact, just about a month and a half ago this person lost 20,000 bucks, but it's rare. This is why one must have a nice bankroll to acheive what this person does.

I think if you dig deeper into your friend's methods, you will discover a variation on the Martingale.

The Martingale is explored in detail near the top of this page...

http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/bettingsystems.html 

Remember, I said "variation."

    Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
    New Jersey
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    Posted: August 24, 2011, 1:29 am - IP Logged

    I think if you dig deeper into your friend's methods, you will discover a variation on the Martingale.

    The Martingale is explored in detail near the top of this page...

    http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/bettingsystems.html 

    Remember, I said "variation."

    Great site.  I absolutely love that site, it's helped me so much.


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      Posted: August 24, 2011, 1:32 am - IP Logged

      I think if you dig deeper into your friend's methods, you will discover a variation on the Martingale.

      The Martingale is explored in detail near the top of this page...

      http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/bettingsystems.html 

      Remember, I said "variation."

      Absolutely wrong. He uses nothing of the sort. He simply plays the remaining p-4 numbers that haven't showed since the inception of the game in straight form, in addition to smaller pools created by programs from a certain site.


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        Posted: August 24, 2011, 1:40 am - IP Logged

        Absolutely wrong. He uses nothing of the sort. He simply plays the remaining p-4 numbers that haven't showed since the inception of the game in straight form, in addition to smaller pools created by programs from a certain site.

        In that case, I think it's safe to say that your friend is a firm believer in the Gambler's Fallacy, and he's been lucky!  If he's still ahead after the $20K loss, it would behoove him to take a break from the action.  Here is one of the best exposes of that dreamer's tonic...

        http://vegasclick.com/gambling/fallacy.html


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          Posted: August 24, 2011, 1:55 am - IP Logged

          Like I said to Boney, he must be the luckiest person on Earth of ALL time. 10 months or more now, winning 80% of every draw....That's one draw a day in the state this person plays in, 10 months in a row, 30 days times 10 months, at 80% if not more but playing it conservative estimate, that's 300 draws of which 80% is 240 draws in the 10 months...Yeah, real lucky guy...Crazy

          Looney Tunes Folks...


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            Posted: August 24, 2011, 2:23 am - IP Logged

            Wow Okay I'm done here.

             

            Actually one thing.  Stars aren't actually the same thing as the sun.  YOU HAVE TO PROVE ME WRONG I DON'T HAVE PROVE ANYTHING.

             

            The fact is - That the burden of proof is one way - that's why the majority believe what I believe.  That the Lottery is only "beatable" by luck.

             

            So now, I don't stand in the unproven.  Mathemticians that work for Slot machine developers and Casinos have already proven wrong EVERY SINGLE wagering system presented to them.  I don't know if they've done the method you're referring to, but the BURDEN OF PROOF IS ON YOU, and anyone else who believes in them, not on the people who's models have reliably worked for 100s of years.

             

            You can't just make something up, or read it somewhere, and say the burden of proof is on everyone else to prove that it's false.

             

             

            I really am done now.  If you believe the burden of proof is on me to prove thats some UNPROVEN system is false, than go ahead and believe in your wild fantasy.

             

            At least JARASAN said "I believe" that the lottery is beatable through a system.  Not that I have to prove it's not.

             

            BTW - if you explain the system to me, then I'll go ahead and see if the math is simple enough for me to disprove.  Like I said, I'm not a mathemtician, so chances are I won't be able to work out the calculation.

             

            But if you want somebody who CAN prove your system CORRECT or FALSE, I'll be happy to point you towards someone with the resources, and ability.  But something tells me you don't want a mathemetical test of your wagering system.

            Boney526,

            Your paragraph here addresses all the fallacies trotted out in this thread...

            "So now, I don't stand in the unproven.  Mathemticians that work for Slot machine developers and Casinos have already proven wrong EVERY SINGLE wagering system presented to them.  I don't know if they've done the method you're referring to, but the BURDEN OF PROOF IS ON YOU, and anyone else who believes in them, not on the people who's models have reliably worked for 100s of years."

            There are some here who will never accept it, I think because their psychological NEED to believe otherwise is too strong.  All that can be hoped for is that efforts such as yours at least manage to reach a few readers, prompting them to study further.

            --Jimmy4164

              jarasan's avatar - new patrick.gif
              Harbinger
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              Posted: August 24, 2011, 7:36 am - IP Logged

              Boney526,

              Your paragraph here addresses all the fallacies trotted out in this thread...

              "So now, I don't stand in the unproven.  Mathemticians that work for Slot machine developers and Casinos have already proven wrong EVERY SINGLE wagering system presented to them.  I don't know if they've done the method you're referring to, but the BURDEN OF PROOF IS ON YOU, and anyone else who believes in them, not on the people who's models have reliably worked for 100s of years."

              There are some here who will never accept it, I think because their psychological NEED to believe otherwise is too strong.  All that can be hoped for is that efforts such as yours at least manage to reach a few readers, prompting them to study further.

              --Jimmy4164

              Boney and Gladys you are stuck in the flat land. 

              Gladys,  you NEED psychoanalysis to determine why you are such a dilated wrecktal orifice in this dimension.  You always have to throw in that little dig you moron.

              jimmykravitz

                Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                Posted: August 24, 2011, 9:25 am - IP Logged

                I love it when they resort to name calling when presented with evidence.

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                  Harbinger
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                  Posted: August 24, 2011, 9:53 am - IP Logged

                  Look here Ms. Bone lover can't leave the topic like you said you would,  your reading comprehension is  Pre K..  You have shown nothing new.  We have learned nothing from you..  Gladys went here first with the psychological insult crap. 

                  Gladys and you should PM each other and shower each other with your vast and deep understanding of random crap.

                    Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                    Posted: August 24, 2011, 10:16 am - IP Logged

                    That's not an insult, it's part of how the brain works,  I've been guilty of similar things plenty of times.  Fine I've got work anyway so I am done.  You know, at first I thought Joker was immature, and you just had a differing view on these matters.

                     

                    Now I see that you're both immature - because anyone who can't have a debate about simple stuff like this, which IMHO - I shouldn't need to explain - without devolving into calling people who agree with the current accepted models moron, dimwits, etc. really need to grow up.

                     

                    So both of you  - grow up - I told Joker I'd continue the conversation if he stopped turning into a flame fest - and that goes for you to.  If you can't help youself but to call somebody a moron for pointing towards the Gamblers Fallacy - or tell me my reading comprehension if pre-K because I ask for proof then I can't see why anyone would want to have a decent conversation with you.

                     

                    Actually I'd say that's more Pre-K, but whatever, like I said - I'll continue the converstaion if you'll refrain from allowing it devolve into you calling everyone names.  Otherwise I'm done - that's way to immature for me.

                     

                    I'm sure you haven't learned anything from me because you chose not to.  But then again, half my posts were just to explain that the burden of proof is on you if you believe your view on the way the world works is correct.  Not only have you not addressed this, I've been told that the burden of proof is on me to prove that the world works the way common sense and 100s of years of math and science have concluded.  Obviously the math and science are CLOSER to true, unless you can prove that your view is.

                      Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                      Posted: August 24, 2011, 10:17 am - IP Logged

                      Look here Ms. Bone lover can't leave the topic like you said you would,  your reading comprehension is  Pre K..  You have shown nothing new.  We have learned nothing from you..  Gladys went here first with the psychological insult crap. 

                      Gladys and you should PM each other and shower each other with your vast and deep understanding of random crap.

                      "Look here Ms. Bone lover can't leave the topic like you said you would,  your reading comprehension is  Pre K.."

                       

                      Maybe that's because you form sentences like a 4th grader.  If you want to call us stupid - I could start pointing out every huge grammatical mistake you've made which has made it nearly impossible to understand you, but it's just funnier that you told me that my reading comprehension is Pre-K right after a sentence that is grammatically incorrect.

                        jarasan's avatar - new patrick.gif
                        Harbinger
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                        Posted: August 24, 2011, 10:29 am - IP Logged

                        OK,  I will,  you and Gladys are stupid.  Sorry you can't comprehend my 4th grade level writing,  that is why I am convinced you're Pre K.   Please,  spend your morning correcting my grammar.   I'll learn so much.

                          Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                          Posted: August 24, 2011, 4:42 pm - IP Logged

                          OK,  I will,  you and Gladys are stupid.  Sorry you can't comprehend my 4th grade level writing,  that is why I am convinced you're Pre K.   Please,  spend your morning correcting my grammar.   I'll learn so much.

                          LOL OK Buddy, I'm stupid for pointing out the mathemetics of the subject - and telling you that in order for your theory to be considered true - you must offer proof.  I guess I forgot that when Einstein came out with his theories, nobody asked for proof they just accepted it as fact.

                           

                          Disapprove

                           

                          The only reason I pointed out your grammar is because you called me Pre-K.

                           

                          Whatever man I'm done with this, I'd wish you good luck if you weren't being such a d***, instead of having an adult debate.


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                            Posted: August 24, 2011, 5:16 pm - IP Logged

                            LOL OK Buddy, I'm stupid for pointing out the mathemetics of the subject - and telling you that in order for your theory to be considered true - you must offer proof.  I guess I forgot that when Einstein came out with his theories, nobody asked for proof they just accepted it as fact.

                             

                            Disapprove

                             

                            The only reason I pointed out your grammar is because you called me Pre-K.

                             

                            Whatever man I'm done with this, I'd wish you good luck if you weren't being such a d***, instead of having an adult debate.

                            It's impossible to have a debate with a brick wall know-it-all...

                              Boney526's avatar - NjlpLogo
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                              Posted: August 24, 2011, 5:37 pm - IP Logged

                              It's impossible to have a debate with a brick wall know-it-all...

                              No see it's impossible to have a debate with someone who doesn't believe he has to back up what he says, and has no respect for anybody who questions his words.  You must think you're some kind of end all be all of everything knowledgable - because you think the burden of proof is on everyone else to prove you wrong.

                               

                              It's impossible to debate with someone who has such a huge ego.  Grow up.  I don't know it all - in fact I have a very rudementary understanding of Statistics.  Having an opinion grounded in logic doesn't make me a know it all.

                                 
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