"But around here this seems to be a mistake as I keep seeing post like your where you are asking if I would "throw out" a 5.2% chance of hitting a $7. prize."
By playing a full 15 number wheel, you already threw out 44 numbers and 99.94% of the possible combinations. The point I was making is about contributing factors like not knowing which 5 of the 15 numbers will be drawn. The even/odd distribution of the 15 numbers will change the amount of all even or all odd combos. The bet is also based on the huge assumption 5 of the numbers will be drawn and matching 4 of the numbers will only return about 40% of the original bet or a 60% loss.
Since your objective is to win the jackpot, the $3003 bet on the full 15 number wheel becomes a $105,105 bet because all 35 bonus ball must be played with each of the 3003 combos. At the very least, you would be risking about $70,000 on a 0.06% chance of winning the jackpot.
"After a while I start thinking that your just messin with me."
Since I haven't seen you make any 5000 to 8 million combo jackpot "good in all games" predictions with no explanation, there is no reason to mess with you. I'm not sure if those making that type of predictions are messing with us because they did the math and know the chances of hitting a jackpot somewhere are high even though logistically impossible to play or they have no clue and just want recognition for matching 3 or 4 of their 25 numbers out of 39 somewhere. Today someone posted their "special" 10 numbers for tonight's PB drawing with no explanation. They don't have enough sense to at least give an example of how they plan on playing them.
Do they really believe players will get the 8820 tickets necessary to hit the jackpot based on nothing but the fact they called them "special"?