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Math Geniuses, Help!! "SLAG" Odd/Even Analysis - Chart I

Topic closed. 182 replies. Last post 1 month ago by Orange71.

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Am I losing my mind here?

Yes you are, the math is correct. [ 2 ]  [18.18%]
No you are not, the math is incorect. [ 3 ]  [27.27%]
I don't know, I lost my abacus. [ 4 ]  [36.36%]
I dont do Math, Math is Racist. [ 2 ]  [18.18%]
Total Valid Votes [ 11 ]  
Discarded Votes [ 8 ]  
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Norton, Ohio
United States
Member #194179
December 3, 2018
423 Posts
Offline

IMHO, while it may be entertaining, it's a total waste of time to attempt frequency analysis and seriously conclude there is any meaningful action possible out of it. There are painstaking measures taken to ensure randomness in virtually any government-run lottery. You might as well take up astrology and reading tea leaves. There are plenty of extremely well compensated Wall Street fund managers and Ivy-League-graduate mathematical "geniuses" working for them to gain any potential edge over the competition on quantitative market trading. Don't you think they would be all over lottery games if there was an edge in them?

Frequency analysis alone won't get you there. But with other tools, there is a way to get there. Getting closer by the day/week/month. It's a journey that I enjoy doing. Your opinion is fine but many here will disagree with you. Why are you here if the lottery is painstakingly random and there is no way to reduce the odds to a drastically lower number. Good luck with your quick picks.

GET IT DONE

    Avatar
    New Member
    Sugar Land
    United States
    Member #200559
    August 28, 2019
    14 Posts
    Offline

    There is one way to optimize your play: select unique random numbers for each play in a given drawing, i.e. do not repeat numbers on successive lines. This is different than Quick-pick, which samples from a full set of balls on each line and therefore can have any number of repeats. Admittedly my approach will limit the number of plays, however. It will give an extremely slight improvement on the Expected Value of the return given the way pari-mutuel prize categories work. The main point, however, is it will optimize the Standard Deviation of the return to the lowest possible value.

      Avatar
      New Member
      Sugar Land
      United States
      Member #200559
      August 28, 2019
      14 Posts
      Offline

      Here is Python 3 code to demonstrate what I mentioned and example output based on the Texas Lotto (Pick 6 out of 54).

      Code:

      import random

      max_ball = int(input('How many balls in your lotto game? '))
      balls_picked = int(input('How many balls will be picked? '))
      num_tickets = int(max_ball / balls_picked)
      print(f'\n{num_tickets} plays are displayed with unique numbers in each play.\n')

      ball_pool = [ball for ball in range(1, max_ball + 1)]
      picks = []

      for i in range(num_tickets):
          current_pick = sorted(random.sample(ball_pool, k=balls_picked))
          ticket_as_str = [str(ball) if ball > 9 else '0' + str(ball)
                            for ball in current_pick]
          picks.append(ticket_as_str)
          for ball in current_pick:
              ball_pool.remove(ball)

      for ticket in picks:
          print(*ticket)
      Example Output:

      How many balls in your lotto game? 54
      How many balls will be picked? 6

      9 plays are displayed with unique numbers in each play.

      13 21 30 33 48 52
      01 20 22 25 41 50
      03 16 32 38 43 53
      02 07 18 19 31 44
      04 12 23 27 28 47
      06 11 17 42 45 51
      15 29 39 46 49 54
      05 10 14 26 36 40
      08 09 24 34 35 37

         
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