hypersoniq's Blog

almost forgot saturday's pleasant surprise... matched the 17, 37 and 41  with the powerplay for a cool $28.

given my 1 ticket per draw habbit, that's 14 free draws ;-) (7 "bye weeks" courtesy of the MUSL... 'bout time)

while performing some line drawing operations, I noticed I skipped a grid rowabout 1/3 down, leaving me to re-enter 2/3 of the data (easy to do by changing y values in line endpoint data, but time-consuming!)

in the first 1/3, I have begun to create the triangles defined  by each set of 3 numbers. (alternating red and yellow lines that connect one draw with the draw 2 draws back) This produces the detailed visual of Chief's BellCurve that I was hoping for.

once rework is done to fix my foul-up, the LONG and painstaking search for indicators will begin... could take a long time... but at least I got it started.

glad to be back in the R&D mode !

 

Chief was very active in the PB/MM hunt. It was there he explained to myself and countless others the wicked simplicity of his excel based "Bell Curve". (search the JP forum and see for yourself)
To date that was the only system in excel that I have tried that showed promise. He was always entertaining and jumped right in when someone put up a PB "Challenge", or more often, just to post his picks. Always entertaining posts and exposure to some really cool native American art are the things I will remember right up there with the bell curve.

I offer the sincerest condolences to his family.

I also hope his family can continue to pursue his dream of an RV park in Virginia ( http://www.cherokeeruncamp.com/ ).

I'm still in shock...

Rest in Peace Ken (kbcherokee) B., you WILL be missed and you WILL be remembered...

I don't really even play the 3/4/cash5/match6/lucky4life... just pb, BUT...

anyone interested in brainstorming and collaborating on some new ideas to reverse-solve the RNG system PA is using for the computerized day draws?

just curious...

If so, we can develop out in the open in the lottery systems thread ;-)

draw to draw lines have now been done, also an excel sheet has been created that lists date, draw number, powerball number, vector (SW/S/SE), magnitude (length), line angle with respect to horizontal & line angle with respect to vertical.

 

rather than go through the rigors of hand-dimensioning each individual line, I cooked up 2 excel formulae to do that for me... using trig (arctangent) and learned something about excel... all excel trig functions operate in Radians, not Degrees, which is what I wanted... but functions exist that convert, also multiplying by (180/pi) does the conversion quicker.

I hand-dimensioned about 20 test points to be sure the excel data is valid and gels with the CAD data... it does. but this is just draw to draw for now, there is more that I will need to gather, but I need to bone up on some more trig to figure out what.

 

for those hardy souls still playing the home game, the excel formulae look like this...

for H Angle (Horizontal sweep)

=IF(D3="SE",(ATAN(1/E3)*180/PI()),IF(D3="SW",(-1*(ATAN(1/E3)*180/PI())),0))

for V Angle (Vertical Sweep * note the easier formula that is derived from the H Angle)

=IF(D3="SE",90-F3,IF(D3="SW",(-90-F3),0))

now that the grid is complete, time to add lines connecting the points that represent the drawn numbers.
In order to make validation easier, the lines are alternately green and blue. I have about 80 in place, there are 300+, so it may take awhile.
no text elements on the screen, just points inside squares... I can tell the number based on the X,Y value of the crosshairs... gotta love AutoCAD!

the road ahead...

1. raw data gathering (angles, both acute and complimentary obtuse for each set of 3 numbers... and also deviance from both horizontal and vertical of each pair of drawn numbers) this will go, most likely as decimal degrees (rather than degree/min/sec or radians) into an excel sheet.

2. "needle in the haystack search" looking for what formula or measurement could possibly be used to zero in on draws based on past draws... same deal as any number system, only with angles. this is the search for rules-of-thumb.

3. search for activity that precedes palindrome draws (example... 05-17-28-17-05 over 5 draws... has happened in PB red ball data more than once, though usually presents as a shorter chain such as 15-41-15)

4. announcers and the exhaustive search for what, if anything, they are trying to "announce".

5. many more tests yet to be determined.

First step conquered in the quest to mis-apply trigonometry/geometry and search for red ball patterns using precise angular measurements.



a very helpful person gave me code to generate the main analysis grid, I'll pass it along to anyone playing along at home...



(((autoLISP routine for grid generation--- 42 squares representing the powerball numbers x 500 draws [old matrix data still good for PB red ball + room to work.])))

<<< written for AutoCAD 2004 >>>

-----------------------begin code----------------------------------

(defun c:grd (/ e1 e2 ss)

(command "rectang" '(0 0) '(1 1))

(setq e1 (entlast))

(setq ss (ssadd))

(ssadd e1 ss)

(command "point" '(0.5 0.5))

(setq e2 (entlast))

(ssadd e2 ss)

(command "-array" ss "" "r" 500 42 1 1)

)

-----------------------end code-------------------------------------



I don't even know what I am looking for, so I have no helpful hints to pass on at this time, except to re-iterate that the layout is very similar to kbcherokee's bell curve system posted many moons ago over in the jackpot system threads. His used excel, My adventure will plot lines between connecting draws, and I will be searching for ANY indicators or "rules-of-thumb" that will aid in determining the next powerball... regardless of how goofy I think they might sound at the time. I know that my initial search will be for precursors of palindromes and the puzzling question of why announcers don't seem to work.



As before, I tend to develop out in the open and welcome comments/corrections/improvements.



I also don't plan on pursuing this for the white ball data unless I dig up some real gold in the red balls, so I am not holding myself to any timetable ;-)



continued good luck all !

I think I will ramp up to full line predictions over time, right now I am concentrating 100% on picking the red ball... in this way it stays simple... also if I can't make progress in the 1:42 odds there's really no point at moving on to the 1:140,000,000 odds.

First on the chopping block is the AutoCAD system. this is a much more precise version of the bell curve, where angles will have accurate measurements and I will intentionally mis-apply trig formulas on the resultant angles rather than the numbers themselves... I have tried just about every system that uses actual numbers and came up dry, perhaps those elusive number patterns would be more easily seen in a different context... one immediate benefit is forcing myself to learn LISP (AutoCAD macro programming) to generate the grid because it is tedious to do by hand one line at a time.

the points of interest will be... angle formed from draw to draw, area of the triangle formed by connecting the 2 angles from 3 consecutive draws, incidence and reflection of announcers... also, overall trends, angles formed between individual number skips, palindrome precursors... should be a blast... and I will need to master that LISP language to move into the white ball arena (no way to do that by hand, especially playing out possibilities such as each number separate by position and draw vs. sort order).

I see a long devel cycle, so in parallel development will be the conversion of the red ball data into musical notes across 3 and 1/2 octaves. this introduces a whole new area of analysis with all new tools and challenges.

I am psyched up for this round of experimentation... taking the numbers out of number crunching ;-)

well, no more huge jackpot. perfect time to whip up another system and begin the long tedious task of coding and backtesting... if I only had a new direction...

my criteria still remains the same...

1. no trapping (too expensive as a number selection technique), unless that trapping is further refined

2. no mixing matrices (5/55 is new but 1/42 is over 300 draws and still valid)

3. end result not to exceed one and only one pick (one $2 ticket, gotta power up)

4. raw statistics are out, I have done them to death with no positive results.

I already use the QP in lieu of a better system so it won't change my purchasing at all, just something about picking my own line that I have missed the last year or so...

but I'm not jumping into anything quickly. I forsee a multi-level system, using only components that show promise at each stage... right now I only have one idea for the first component, and that would be the "bell curve " (kbcherokee system in excel, only moved to AutoCAD grid for accurate angles). I will probably start  with just the powerball itself and eventually add in the white balls...

when? don't know... why? because one QP is economical but no fun... apparently when it comes to QP's, I'm apparently not "meant to" win :-(

this time I am embracing accidental results and looking for "dumb luck" by the intentional mis-application of methods having nothing to do with more traditional prediction and trapping... the more outlandish the concept, the more fun it will be... I'm breaking into such diverse areas as trigonometry, analytic geometry (for bell curve analysis) and mis-applied calculus.

I am hoping to develop a system that works by accident. I have already tried going down the routes deemed "mainstream", systems for numbers that most would agree have merit... what I am contemplating would not really make any sense to the seasoned number cruncher... I have given the state a chance for long enough to pick my one line... even tho I used to pick my own with roughtly the same results... it's the whole process that makes it enjoyable... QP takes out the fun factor.

I may just break down and revisit all of the goofy powerball ideas I have ever had...

here's a classic

take the 42 powerball numbers and convert them to MIDI notes, with 12 classic notes per scale, that gives 3 and a half octaves... maybe if I can't see something right in front of my face I might be able to hear it (20 years with a guitar helps keep your ears perked)...

I could have kept that one a secret because it really has no merit, right?

how about YOUR crazy ideas? let's hear 'em...

And here it is, the dawning of a new powerball era... record jackpots, bumped up second tiers, second tier rolldowns and me without a system.

I currently use one QP per draw... gave up on tracking when they up and changed the matrix on us.

draw number 14 of the 5/55+1/42 is in the record books and the leaders are #8 (4 hits) and #50 (7 hits... HOT HOT HOT!). in the red ball "fishtank" #17 already made a repeat appearance... as a palindrome around the focal point number 28.

what does it all mean? I don't know and find no motivation to pursue it any further. perhaps a completely new and off the wall direction, but I am fresh out of ideas. last time the powerplay was 3 I hit 1+1 on my one QP for $12... no extra hits since and now I am back to shelling out my own $2 (gotta go P-Play for sure).

my excel sheet that breaks down what I would do with a win is so tuned, it's no longer fun to play with... where is the inspiration? who will be the next guru? his bait-and-switch lottosynch concept kept me entertained in VB6 and RNG theory for weeks, months even! my biggest downfall is that I backtest... can't even fool myself :-(

between false hope and no hope, I preferred a bit o'false hope and a good dose of common sense to the bleak realization that what I tried to do cannot be done by me.... (and thus far anyone else either)

where is the entertainment of seeing someone like goose defend his bad math to his ultimate banishment? even debunking systems was fun.

who holds the key to the next great wild goose chase? where is the next crazy math anomaly? I need a muse!

As drawing #266 goes in the MUSL powerball history books (266@ 5/52 + 1/42) the end of all that gathered data looms nearer. the last draw that keeps the current matrix data relevant is set for 8/27/2005... draw #300.

After that, it becomes 5/55 + 1/42. Time to pull out all the stops, crunch some numbers and scramble to fix errors... 127 million combos and we only get to see 300 of them... kinda makes the chase seem even more pointless.

Come the first draw of the new matrix, I am done... going to adopt the VisionDude one quickpick system and find another hobby (I'm thinking Radio Controlled Airplanes since it's safe to stick a fork in the dream of ever flying a real plane). Maybe I'll try to get another band started (not easy to find 30-40 yr. old musicians wanting to start a punk band) but I'll be archiving the spreadsheets for good by september... I tried, I failed.... but at least I tried, and had fun doing it.

WHY did they have to jump the gun and tamper with the matrix because of a short-term spike in winners?

good luck to everyone... 34 draws left, let's beat it before then!

There are 10 kinds of people in the world

--those who understand Binary

--and those who don't...

...Back to the business at hand. Winning the lottery!

As stated earlier, I am on hiatus from systems development until I have a few songs written and recorded. I started off today with 10 hours of work and a 2 hours (round trip) in traffic... I will spend the majority of the remainder of my 36th Birthday working out song ideas and recording some rough tracks before I forget them. Gotta make sure to apply some gloss to this set of songs as one will be released early in 2005 on a compilation CD and the rest might finally go onto an EP. Most will be new but I do have a stockpile of songs written since 1999 that might be reworkable... the music is still relevant but most of the lyrics were written on the spot for fun... not really meant for an audience...(gotta cut your recording engineer teeth on some raw material, why not your own...)

I want to present the label with a few songs to pick from for their compilation, saving the rest for the first CD. Should be fun. Since it is highly unlikely for a 36 year old "one man band" (for now) to get signed to a label (even a local indie one)... I also have to deal with the eventual start of a personal record label (basic LLC) and a plan to make the CD available without the immediate aid of a local club circuit tour. Challenges that can be overcome with proper planning and a little luck.

one step at a time. I love the fact that you are never too old to participate in the music scene. I love the possibilities now available to independent musicians via the web... it is now perfectly possible for someone to jump into the scene at the hobbyist level, it no longer needs to be a lifestyle choice...

It is something that I have not played on a local stage in 10 years but when the mrs. and I get our rare night out people still remember my fretboard antics. Now life experience has led me to a possible chance to go at it one more time... 6+ yrs heavy gigging, 25 years on the guitar, the last few years heavy into songwriting, recording and learning Bass/Drums/arranging and all the practice recording harmony lines will all help.

I'm psyched! THe time has never been better for my particular style of music. Punk is practically mainstream these days and given the hard road ahead for the audience I would be trying to reach... I think it will be recieved well locally... and this is a tough locale to make an impression on (alot of musicians in alot of bands, local recording studios, bars that only book original music... and local music here is good quality stuff... )

Since I have nothing better to look forward to until 2008 (a fluke powerball win would be nice)... may as well take a shot at it.

Awesome! WTG voters, record turnouts... people exercising their right to vote... that's cool! each candidate got more votes than any other candidates in history. in many states, 1 in 5 voters were under 30... wtg people, that is a vastly improved turnout from the last election. Congrats to ALL the voters for making such a strong showing.

Turnout records were broken in every precinct around here... lines were out the door... that's democracy in action people, kudos voters!

Last night I was invited to put a song on a local compilation CD of area artists. They have a concert at it's release with all the local bands.

Since I record all of my stuff in the basement without a band, I was not too sure, but they offered to take the main band and learn the other parts to whatever song I contribute... it's never too late with music! It would make it much easier to find a bassist and drummer with a song published (nobody really takes middle aged punks serious, hard to find musicians in their mid 30's looking to play punk music.)

The caveat... I must have the song written, tracked and mixed before 1/1/2005.  I don't have to master it, they will have that done (one less headache)... this could be my one unexpected shot to get back into the music scene without doing everything on my own... he he he... This comp is not like some, where you must pay to be on it... it's the real deal... by invitation... I am honored. So many years have passed since my bar band guitar hero days...

Since free time is a luxury here, I will halt all current system developments and use my mostly automated system to keep in the powerball, but that's it for the next month or so. I could never stay away from the LP, but visits will be less frequent. I have to wait until I see who wins the election to decide how hardcore to go with the song, but I MUST begin writing in earnest by wednesday... Drums are a pain to program...

Good luck PB players! keep the ball rollin ;-)