hypersoniq's Blog

picking my PB battles...

I think I will ramp up to full line predictions over time, right now I am concentrating 100% on picking the red ball... in this way it stays simple... also if I can't make progress in the 1:42 odds there's really no point at moving on to the 1:140,000,000 odds.

First on the chopping block is the AutoCAD system. this is a much more precise version of the bell curve, where angles will have accurate measurements and I will intentionally mis-apply trig formulas on the resultant angles rather than the numbers themselves... I have tried just about every system that uses actual numbers and came up dry, perhaps those elusive number patterns would be more easily seen in a different context... one immediate benefit is forcing myself to learn LISP (AutoCAD macro programming) to generate the grid because it is tedious to do by hand one line at a time.

the points of interest will be... angle formed from draw to draw, area of the triangle formed by connecting the 2 angles from 3 consecutive draws, incidence and reflection of announcers... also, overall trends, angles formed between individual number skips, palindrome precursors... should be a blast... and I will need to master that LISP language to move into the white ball arena (no way to do that by hand, especially playing out possibilities such as each number separate by position and draw vs. sort order).

I see a long devel cycle, so in parallel development will be the conversion of the red ball data into musical notes across 3 and 1/2 octaves. this introduces a whole new area of analysis with all new tools and challenges.

I am psyched up for this round of experimentation... taking the numbers out of number crunching ;-)

Entry #66

what's next?

well, no more huge jackpot. perfect time to whip up another system and begin the long tedious task of coding and backtesting... if I only had a new direction...

my criteria still remains the same...

1. no trapping (too expensive as a number selection technique), unless that trapping is further refined

2. no mixing matrices (5/55 is new but 1/42 is over 300 draws and still valid)

3. end result not to exceed one and only one pick (one $2 ticket, gotta power up)

4. raw statistics are out, I have done them to death with no positive results.

I already use the QP in lieu of a better system so it won't change my purchasing at all, just something about picking my own line that I have missed the last year or so...

but I'm not jumping into anything quickly. I forsee a multi-level system, using only components that show promise at each stage... right now I only have one idea for the first component, and that would be the "bell curve " (kbcherokee system in excel, only moved to AutoCAD grid for accurate angles). I will probably start  with just the powerball itself and eventually add in the white balls...

when? don't know... why? because one QP is economical but no fun... apparently when it comes to QP's, I'm apparently not "meant to" win :-(

this time I am embracing accidental results and looking for "dumb luck" by the intentional mis-application of methods having nothing to do with more traditional prediction and trapping... the more outlandish the concept, the more fun it will be... I'm breaking into such diverse areas as trigonometry, analytic geometry (for bell curve analysis) and mis-applied calculus.

I am hoping to develop a system that works by accident. I have already tried going down the routes deemed "mainstream", systems for numbers that most would agree have merit... what I am contemplating would not really make any sense to the seasoned number cruncher... I have given the state a chance for long enough to pick my one line... even tho I used to pick my own with roughtly the same results... it's the whole process that makes it enjoyable... QP takes out the fun factor.

I may just break down and revisit all of the goofy powerball ideas I have ever had...

here's a classic

take the 42 powerball numbers and convert them to MIDI notes, with 12 classic notes per scale, that gives 3 and a half octaves... maybe if I can't see something right in front of my face I might be able to hear it (20 years with a guitar helps keep your ears perked)...

I could have kept that one a secret because it really has no merit, right?

how about YOUR crazy ideas? let's hear 'em...

Entry #65

powerball thoughts

And here it is, the dawning of a new powerball era... record jackpots, bumped up second tiers, second tier rolldowns and me without a system.

I currently use one QP per draw... gave up on tracking when they up and changed the matrix on us.

draw number 14 of the 5/55+1/42 is in the record books and the leaders are #8 (4 hits) and #50 (7 hits... HOT HOT HOT!). in the red ball "fishtank" #17 already made a repeat appearance... as a palindrome around the focal point number 28.

what does it all mean? I don't know and find no motivation to pursue it any further. perhaps a completely new and off the wall direction, but I am fresh out of ideas. last time the powerplay was 3 I hit 1+1 on my one QP for $12... no extra hits since and now I am back to shelling out my own $2 (gotta go P-Play for sure).

my excel sheet that breaks down what I would do with a win is so tuned, it's no longer fun to play with... where is the inspiration? who will be the next guru? his bait-and-switch lottosynch concept kept me entertained in VB6 and RNG theory for weeks, months even! my biggest downfall is that I backtest... can't even fool myself :-(

between false hope and no hope, I preferred a bit o'false hope and a good dose of common sense to the bleak realization that what I tried to do cannot be done by me.... (and thus far anyone else either)

where is the entertainment of seeing someone like goose defend his bad math to his ultimate banishment? even debunking systems was fun.

who holds the key to the next great wild goose chase? where is the next crazy math anomaly? I need a muse!

Entry #64

34 draws left...

As drawing #266 goes in the MUSL powerball history books (266@ 5/52 + 1/42) the end of all that gathered data looms nearer. the last draw that keeps the current matrix data relevant is set for 8/27/2005... draw #300.

After that, it becomes 5/55 + 1/42. Time to pull out all the stops, crunch some numbers and scramble to fix errors... 127 million combos and we only get to see 300 of them... kinda makes the chase seem even more pointless.

Come the first draw of the new matrix, I am done... going to adopt the VisionDude one quickpick system and find another hobby (I'm thinking Radio Controlled Airplanes since it's safe to stick a fork in the dream of ever flying a real plane). Maybe I'll try to get another band started (not easy to find 30-40 yr. old musicians wanting to start a punk band) but I'll be archiving the spreadsheets for good by september... I tried, I failed.... but at least I tried, and had fun doing it.

WHY did they have to jump the gun and tamper with the matrix because of a short-term spike in winners?

good luck to everyone... 34 draws left, let's beat it before then!

Entry #63

people

There are 10 kinds of people in the world

--those who understand Binary

--and those who don't...

Entry #62

Now that the fate of the nation is decided...

...Back to the business at hand. Winning the lottery!

As stated earlier, I am on hiatus from systems development until I have a few songs written and recorded. I started off today with 10 hours of work and a 2 hours (round trip) in traffic... I will spend the majority of the remainder of my 36th Birthday working out song ideas and recording some rough tracks before I forget them. Gotta make sure to apply some gloss to this set of songs as one will be released early in 2005 on a compilation CD and the rest might finally go onto an EP. Most will be new but I do have a stockpile of songs written since 1999 that might be reworkable... the music is still relevant but most of the lyrics were written on the spot for fun... not really meant for an audience...(gotta cut your recording engineer teeth on some raw material, why not your own...)

I want to present the label with a few songs to pick from for their compilation, saving the rest for the first CD. Should be fun. Since it is highly unlikely for a 36 year old "one man band" (for now) to get signed to a label (even a local indie one)... I also have to deal with the eventual start of a personal record label (basic LLC) and a plan to make the CD available without the immediate aid of a local club circuit tour. Challenges that can be overcome with proper planning and a little luck.

one step at a time. I love the fact that you are never too old to participate in the music scene. I love the possibilities now available to independent musicians via the web... it is now perfectly possible for someone to jump into the scene at the hobbyist level, it no longer needs to be a lifestyle choice...

It is something that I have not played on a local stage in 10 years but when the mrs. and I get our rare night out people still remember my fretboard antics. Now life experience has led me to a possible chance to go at it one more time... 6+ yrs heavy gigging, 25 years on the guitar, the last few years heavy into songwriting, recording and learning Bass/Drums/arranging and all the practice recording harmony lines will all help.

I'm psyched! THe time has never been better for my particular style of music. Punk is practically mainstream these days and given the hard road ahead for the audience I would be trying to reach... I think it will be recieved well locally... and this is a tough locale to make an impression on (alot of musicians in alot of bands, local recording studios, bars that only book original music... and local music here is good quality stuff... )

Since I have nothing better to look forward to until 2008 (a fluke powerball win would be nice)... may as well take a shot at it.

Entry #61

wow, look how many votes were cast!

Awesome! WTG voters, record turnouts... people exercising their right to vote... that's cool! each candidate got more votes than any other candidates in history. in many states, 1 in 5 voters were under 30... wtg people, that is a vastly improved turnout from the last election. Congrats to ALL the voters for making such a strong showing.

Turnout records were broken in every precinct around here... lines were out the door... that's democracy in action people, kudos voters!

Entry #60

opportunity knocks

Last night I was invited to put a song on a local compilation CD of area artists. They have a concert at it's release with all the local bands.

Since I record all of my stuff in the basement without a band, I was not too sure, but they offered to take the main band and learn the other parts to whatever song I contribute... it's never too late with music! It would make it much easier to find a bassist and drummer with a song published (nobody really takes middle aged punks serious, hard to find musicians in their mid 30's looking to play punk music.)

The caveat... I must have the song written, tracked and mixed before 1/1/2005.  I don't have to master it, they will have that done (one less headache)... this could be my one unexpected shot to get back into the music scene without doing everything on my own... he he he... This comp is not like some, where you must pay to be on it... it's the real deal... by invitation... I am honored. So many years have passed since my bar band guitar hero days...

Since free time is a luxury here, I will halt all current system developments and use my mostly automated system to keep in the powerball, but that's it for the next month or so. I could never stay away from the LP, but visits will be less frequent. I have to wait until I see who wins the election to decide how hardcore to go with the song, but I MUST begin writing in earnest by wednesday... Drums are a pain to program...

Good luck PB players! keep the ball rollin ;-)

Entry #59

went to a great concert tuesday 10/26!

I saw a great show tuesday night!

Sugarcult, New Found Glory and Green Day on the American Idiot tour. Both openers were good, but Green Day is really polished, that was one awesome show!

A good punk show is always an inspiration to continue on with the home recording project. I finally have my low budget studio dialled in. Regardless of who wins the election, I think it's time for my own CD... look out corporate scum!  

 

                                             

Entry #58

Almost Election Day!

Regardless of which way you are leaning, I hope you ALL go out to vote on election day.

Both sides are slinging crap like it is going out of style, too late for facts I guess...

The thing I look for is my life  years ago vs. today....

I have lost 2 jobs due to outsourcing in the last 4 years.

I make LESS than I did four years ago

My benefits are worse AND MORE EXPENSIVE than 4 years ago.

I drive farther to get to work than  years ago.

I know more people that have been screwed by nafta than have not been screwed by nafta.

My town and surrounding communities are under a flurry of bankruptcies, forclosures and sherrif's sales... it is sickening.

4 local factories closed, 2 lowered wages and only use temp hiring to avoid benefits.

Local unemployment is at an ALL TIME record...

all in the last 4 years.

I am not jumping on the bandwagon by regurgitating propaganda in lieu of a genuine opinion... I have been personally affected by Bush's reign of error... I am NOT voting for him. in a 20 mile area, only a few business owners have bush propaganda on their property... Bush lost this county for sure... I hope others follow.

I would rather higher wages rather than lower taxes.

I would rather insurance renorm over medical liability renorm, if after 8 years of extra school a doctor leaves in a set of forcepts, they deserve to be sued... Imagine if your wife went in for some surgery and was mixed up and recieved a hysterectomy... this HAS happened... now imagine they were a young couple who now can never have children. capping malpractice (think of the meaning mal=bad) is giving licence to practitioners to do their jobs without accountability...

I would rather punish corporations for exporting jobs. If being competetive in a global marketplace means screwing the workers at home, then let those corporations GET OUT! c-ya...

four more years of the corporate puppet bush and we may as well call this place America inc. "normer land of opportunity, come exploit our beaten down workforce"

 

 

Entry #57

draw history significance?

One of the balances I have been looking at is how far back in draw history to go to get the best results for short term trends... how many draws back are significant and why?

My current PB one line system uses a weighting system based on past pernormance (number of positional matches = weight) and I currently use 3 draws back (15 draws back for MODE)... this seems to keep the numbers changing each draw, but I have more statistical hits with the rarely changing long term full draw history, therefore those weights are higher.

I use 3 draws back because it does make changes to the numbers, but is there another number that would be better? 5 back? 10 back? any thoughts on this?

Entry #56

Numbers show Middle Class has no friend in Bush

The Real State of the Union Under Bush

THE BUSH INDEX: Undermining the Middle Class with Fewer Jobs, Less Pay, Higher Costs


Fewer Jobs, Less Pay.

Total number of lost American jobs (private sector) since Bush took office: 1.8 million

Average difference in earnings between industries losing jobs and those creating jobs: $9,160 less

Number of jobs Bush needs to create each month to avoid losing jobs before election day: 900,000

Number of Presidents in the last 70 years who have lost jobs during their terms of office: 1

.increasing health care costs.

Increase in family health care premiums since Bush took office: 50 percent

How much faster health insurance premiums are growing than workers' earnings last year: 4 times

Number of Americans who have lost health insurance since Bush took office: 5.2 million

Total number of Americans without health insurance: 45 million

.and more obstacles to achieving the American Dream

Increase in college tuition since Bush took office (on average): $1,207 - or 35 percent

Increase in child care costs since Bush took office (on average): $2,050

Increase in gas costs for households with children: 33 percent

Increase in households filing for bankruptcy between 2000 and 2003: 33 percent

Number of seconds between household bankruptcy filings last year: 19

Increase in the annual federal deficit since Bush took office: $658 billion

Entry #55

Another Job Application

Job application from George W Bush

GEORGE W. BUSH

1600 Pennsylvania Avenue

Washington, DC 20520

EDUCATION AND EXPERIENCE:

Law Enforcement:

I was arrested in Kennebunkport, Maine, in 1976 for driving under
the influence of alcohol. I pled guilty, paid a fine, and had my driver's
license suspended for 30 days. My Texas driving record has been "lost" and is not available.

Military:

I joined the Texas Air National Guard and went AWOL. I refused to
take a drug test or answer any questions about my drug use. By joining the
Texas Air National Guard, I was able to avoid combat duty in Vietnam.

College:

I graduated from Yale University with a low C average. I was a cheerleader.

Past Work Experience:

I ran for U.S. Congress and lost. I began my career in the oil
business in Midland, Texas, in 1975. I bought an oil company, but couldn't
find any oil in Texas. The company went bankrupt shortly after I sold all my
stock. I bought the Texas Rangers baseball team in a sweetheart deal that
took land using taxpayer money. With the help of my father and our friends
in the oil industry (including Enron CEO Ken Lay), I was elected governor of Texas.

ACCOMPLISHMENTS AS GOVERNOR OF TEXAS:

- I changed Texas pollution laws to favor power and oil companies,
making Texas the most polluted state in the Union. During my tenure, Houston
replaced Los Angeles as the most smog-ridden city in America.

- I cut taxes and bankrupted the Texas treasury to the tune of
billions in borrowed money.

- With the help of my brother, the governor of Florida, and my
father's appointments to the Supreme Court, I became President after losing
by over 500,000 votes.

ACCOMPLISHMENTS AS PRESIDENT:

- I am the first President in U.S. history to enter office with a criminal record.

- I invaded and occupied two countries at a continuing cost of over one billion dollars per week.

- I spent the U.S. surplus and effectively bankrupted the U.S. Treasury.

- I shattered the record for the largest annual deficit in U.S. history.

- I set an economic record for most private bankruptcies filed in any 12-month period.

- I set the all-time record for most foreclosures in a 12-month period.

- I set the all-time record for the biggest drop in the history of
the U.S. stock market. In my first year in office, over 2 million Americans
lost their jobs and that trend continues every month.

- I'm proud that the members of my cabinet are the richest of any
administration in U.S. history. My "poorest millionaire," Condoleeza Rice,
has a Chevron oil tanker named after her.

- I set the record for most campaign fund-raising trips by a U.S. President.

- I am the all-time U.S. and world record-holder for receiving the most corporate campaign donations.

- My largest lifetime campaign contributor, and one of my best friends, Kenneth Lay, presided over the largest corporate bankruptcy fraud in U.S. History, Enron.

- My political party used Enron private jets and corporate
attorneys to assure my success with the U.S. Supreme Court during my election decision.

- I have protected my friends at Enron and Halliburton against
investigation or prosecution. More time and money was spent investigating
the Monica Lewinsky affair than has been spent investigating one of the
biggest corporate rip-offs in history. I presided over the biggest energy
crisis in U.S. history and refused to intervene when corruption involving the oil industry was revealed.

- I presided over the highest gasoline prices in U.S. history.

- I changed the U.S. policy to allow convicted criminals to be awarded government contracts.

- I appointed more convicted criminals to administration than any President in U.S. history.

- I created the Ministry of Homeland Security, the largest bureaucracy in the history of the United States government.

- I've broken more international treaties than any President in U.S. history.

- I am the first President in U.S. history to have the United
Nations remove the U.S. from the Human Rights Commission.

- I withdrew the U.S. from the World Court of Law.

- I refused to allow inspector's access to U.S. "prisoners of war"
detainees and thereby have refused to abide by the Geneva Convention.

- I am the first President in history to refuse United Nations
election inspectors (during the 2002 U.S. election).

- I set the record for fewest numbers of press conferences of any
President since the advent of television.

- I set the all-time record for most days on vacation in any
one-year period. After taking off the entire month of August, I presided
over the worst security failure in U.S. history.

- I garnered the most sympathy ever for the U.S. after the World
Trade Center attacks and less than a year later made the U.S. the most hated
country in the world, the largest failure of diplomacy in world history.

- I have set the all-time record for most people worldwide to
simultaneously protest me in public venues (15 million people), shattering
the record for protests against any person in the history of mankind.

- I am the first President in U.S. history to order an unprovoked,
pre-emptive attack and the military occupation of a sovereign nation. I did
so against the will of the United Nations, the majority of U.S. citizens,
and the world community.

- I have cut health care benefits for war veterans and support a
cut in duty benefits for active duty troops and their families in wartime.

- In my State of the Union Address, I lied about our reasons for
attacking Iraq and then blamed the lies on our British friends.

- I am the first President in history to have a majority of
Europeans (71%) view my presidency as the biggest threat to world peace and security.

- I am supporting development of a nuclear "Tactical Bunker Buster," a WMD.

- I have so far failed to fulfill my pledge to bring Osama Bin Laden to justice.

RECORDS AND REFERENCES:

-All records of my tenure as governor of Texas are now in my
father's library, sealed and unavailable for public view.

- All records of SEC investigations into my insider trading and my
bankrupt companies are sealed in secrecy and unavailable for public view.

- All records or minutes from meetings that I, or my
Vice-President, attended regarding public energy policy are sealed in
secrecy and unavailable for public review.

PLEASE CONSIDER MY EXPERIENCE WHEN VOTING IN 2004

Entry #54

Another black eye for outsourcing

I punched out yesterday and had racked up 5 hours last week running a difficult job in swiss turning. It is a job that the company had before for an optoelectronics firm that took that job to Mexico... they couldn't touch our quality! we are in the middle of an order of 2,500 units that I have hit the halfway point  3  days ahead of schedule...

it is a problematic job on an older quirky machine, one that others had run before and were pulled off of. I ran 1,000 last time and only 750 passed QC, becausethey are so hard to make right... that 750 not only got me back on that job, but were instrumental in winning back the contract from Mexico.

HA.

Everyone can talk the talk but it sure feels good to walk the walk... I will have another 56 hours next week guaranteed thanks to that contract. I hate that particular job, but sometimes you need to suck it up and take one for the home team. 2 weeks ago I was in a different department and ran 4 machines all by myself... this is an understaffed department. I put out parts equal to 4 weeks in 1 week, we mayjust nail an iffy contract with another optoelectronics company because of the beaten deadline (which was Nov. 1st, but now it's 100% done and shipped).

I feel 100% justified in bashing outsourcing, and I am doing everything in my power to stop it (one contract at a time)... I will also do my part on election day...

savor the small victories!

Entry #52